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icon for Fed Interest Rates March 2023

Fed Interest Rates March 2023

icon for Fed Interest Rates March 2023

Fed Interest Rates March 2023

Ended: Mar 22, 2023

Oct 29

Dec 10

Jan 28, 2027

Ended: Mar 22, 2023

Oct 29

Dec 10

Jan 28, 2027

$454,786 Vol.

Mar 21, 2023
Polymarket

$454,786 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 25 bps decrease after March meeting?

25 bps decrease after March meeting?

$29,991 Vol.

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icon for No increase after March meeting?

No increase after March meeting?

$119,685 Vol.

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icon for 25 bps increase after March meeting?

25 bps increase after March meeting?

$173,828 Vol.

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icon for 50 bps increase after March meeting?

50 bps increase after March meeting?

$131,282 Vol.

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The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 21-22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points under the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 21-22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 21-22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased exactly 25 basis points over the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 21-22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased exactly 50 basis points over the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 21-22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points under the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 21-22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points under the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$454,786
End Date
Mar 22, 2023
Market Opened
Mar 21, 2023, 8:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Resolver

0x6a9d22261...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 21-22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points under the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 21-22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 21-22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased exactly 25 basis points over the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 21-22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased exactly 50 basis points over the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 21-22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points under the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 21-22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points under the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$454,786
End Date
Mar 22, 2023
Market Opened
Mar 21, 2023, 8:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Resolver

0x6a9d22261...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Fed Interest Rates March 2023" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25 bps decrease after March meeting?" at 0%, followed by "No increase after March meeting?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Fed Interest Rates March 2023" has generated $454.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 21, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Fed Interest Rates March 2023," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Fed Interest Rates March 2023" is "25 bps decrease after March meeting?" at just 0%, with "No increase after March meeting?" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Fed Interest Rates March 2023" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.