Name: Ethereum ETF approved by...?
Start: 2023-01-03T17:30:17.794Z
End: 2024-06-29T12:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Ethereum ETF receives approval from the SEC by January 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

January 31

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Ethereum ETF receives approval from the SEC by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


June 30

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Ethereum ETF receives approval from the SEC by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

March 31

Ethereum ETF approved by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Pepe (https://etherscan.io/token/0x6982508145454ce325ddbe47a25d4ec3d2311933) ETF receives approval from the SEC by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Approval under Rule 19-4b will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, even if there has not been an S-1 approval. Similarly, an S-1 approval without a 19-4b approval will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Pepe ETF in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Cardano (ADA) ETF receives approval from the SEC by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Approval under Rule 19-4b will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, even if there has not been an S-1 approval. Similarly, an S-1 approval without a 19-4b approval will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cardano ETF in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $2,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of Ethereum, either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy Ethereum in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) is not the second or first largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization at any point between March 9, and December 31, 2025 ET, according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be CoinGecko. If CoinGecko becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be chosen. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Ethereum ETF approved by...?

January 31
$15,661 Vol.
No

June 30
$971,401 Vol.
Yes

March 31
$58,238 Vol.
No

Market Context

Ethereum ETF approved by...?

Rules

Ethereum ETF approved by...?

Market Context

Ethereum ETF approved by...?

About

Related

Ethereum ETF approved by...?

January 31$15,661 Vol.Nocircle xmark

June 30$971,401 Vol.Yescircle check

March 31$58,238 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Ethereum ETF approved by...?

Rules

Ethereum ETF approved by...?

Market Context

Ethereum ETF approved by...?

About

Related

January 31
$15,661 Vol.
No

June 30
$971,401 Vol.
Yes

March 31
$58,238 Vol.
No