Market icon

Ethena crash in 2024?

Market icon

Ethena crash in 2024?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$314,751 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$314,751 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” Ethena USDe is below 90 cents for a period of 12 hours or more in 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." CoinGecko 30 minute candles for Ethena USDe will be used, for candles between April 1 and December 31, 2024 in the ET timezone. For this market to resolve to "Yes" all candles in the 12 hour period must have a final “High” price below 0.90000 (i.e. 0.89999 or lower). A 12h period of USDe below 90 cents that starts on the last day will count (e.g. December 31, 2024, 22:00 ET to January 1, 2024, 10:00 ET). The resolution source for this market is https://www.coingecko.com/, specifically the “High” prices currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethena-usde with “30m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” on the displayed chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to CoinGecko USDe. If CoinGecko stops having the necessary USDe information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDe was below 90 cents for 12h+ may be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” Ethena USDe is below 90 cents for a period of 12 hours or more in 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

CoinGecko 30 minute candles for Ethena USDe will be used, for candles between April 1 and December 31, 2024 in the ET timezone. For this market to resolve to "Yes" all candles in the 12 hour period must have a final “High” price below 0.90000 (i.e. 0.89999 or lower). A 12h period of USDe below 90 cents that starts on the last day will count (e.g. December 31, 2024, 22:00 ET to January 1, 2024, 10:00 ET).

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coingecko.com/, specifically the “High” prices currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethena-usde with “30m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” on the displayed chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to CoinGecko USDe. If CoinGecko stops having the necessary USDe information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDe was below 90 cents for 12h+ may be used to resolve this market.
Volume
$314,751
End Date
Dec 31, 2024
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2024, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” Ethena USDe is below 90 cents for a period of 12 hours or more in 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." CoinGecko 30 minute candles for Ethena USDe will be used, for candles between April 1 and December 31, 2024 in the ET timezone. For this market to resolve to "Yes" all candles in the 12 hour period must have a final “High” price below 0.90000 (i.e. 0.89999 or lower). A 12h period of USDe below 90 cents that starts on the last day will count (e.g. December 31, 2024, 22:00 ET to January 1, 2024, 10:00 ET). The resolution source for this market is https://www.coingecko.com/, specifically the “High” prices currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethena-usde with “30m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” on the displayed chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to CoinGecko USDe. If CoinGecko stops having the necessary USDe information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDe was below 90 cents for 12h+ may be used to resolve this market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” Ethena USDe is below 90 cents for a period of 12 hours or more in 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." CoinGecko 30 minute candles for Ethena USDe will be used, for candles between April 1 and December 31, 2024 in the ET timezone. For this market to resolve to "Yes" all candles in the 12 hour period must have a final “High” price below 0.90000 (i.e. 0.89999 or lower). A 12h period of USDe below 90 cents that starts on the last day will count (e.g. December 31, 2024, 22:00 ET to January 1, 2024, 10:00 ET). The resolution source for this market is https://www.coingecko.com/, specifically the “High” prices currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethena-usde with “30m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” on the displayed chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to CoinGecko USDe. If CoinGecko stops having the necessary USDe information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDe was below 90 cents for 12h+ may be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” Ethena USDe is below 90 cents for a period of 12 hours or more in 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

CoinGecko 30 minute candles for Ethena USDe will be used, for candles between April 1 and December 31, 2024 in the ET timezone. For this market to resolve to "Yes" all candles in the 12 hour period must have a final “High” price below 0.90000 (i.e. 0.89999 or lower). A 12h period of USDe below 90 cents that starts on the last day will count (e.g. December 31, 2024, 22:00 ET to January 1, 2024, 10:00 ET).

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coingecko.com/, specifically the “High” prices currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethena-usde with “30m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” on the displayed chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to CoinGecko USDe. If CoinGecko stops having the necessary USDe information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDe was below 90 cents for 12h+ may be used to resolve this market.
Volume
$314,751
End Date
Dec 31, 2024
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2024, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” Ethena USDe is below 90 cents for a period of 12 hours or more in 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." CoinGecko 30 minute candles for Ethena USDe will be used, for candles between April 1 and December 31, 2024 in the ET timezone. For this market to resolve to "Yes" all candles in the 12 hour period must have a final “High” price below 0.90000 (i.e. 0.89999 or lower). A 12h period of USDe below 90 cents that starts on the last day will count (e.g. December 31, 2024, 22:00 ET to January 1, 2024, 10:00 ET). The resolution source for this market is https://www.coingecko.com/, specifically the “High” prices currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethena-usde with “30m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” on the displayed chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to CoinGecko USDe. If CoinGecko stops having the necessary USDe information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDe was below 90 cents for 12h+ may be used to resolve this market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ethena crash in 2024?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ethena crash in 2024?" has generated $314.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ethena crash in 2024?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Ethena crash in 2024?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Ethena crash in 2024?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.