DeepSeek R2 released before July?
$42,192 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek R model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-R1.5) will not count, however versions such as DeepSeek R2 or R3 will count.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek R model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
The "next DeepSeek R model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek R series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-R1, the latest publicly known model as of January 2025.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-R1.5) will not count, however versions such as DeepSeek R2 or R3 will count.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek R model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
The "next DeepSeek R model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek R series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-R1, the latest publicly known model as of January 2025.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Apr 17, 2025, 11:40 PM UTC
Volume
$42,192End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Apr 17, 2025, 11:40 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$42,192 Vol.
DeepSeek R2 released before July?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek R model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-R1.5) will not count, however versions such as DeepSeek R2 or R3 will count.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek R model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
The "next DeepSeek R model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek R series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-R1, the latest publicly known model as of January 2025.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-R1.5) will not count, however versions such as DeepSeek R2 or R3 will count.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek R model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
The "next DeepSeek R model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek R series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-R1, the latest publicly known model as of January 2025.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$42,192End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Apr 17, 2025, 11:40 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
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