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icon for Clavicular arrested by...?
Politics·Clav

Clavicular arrested by...?

icon for Clavicular arrested by...?
Politics·Clav

Clavicular arrested by...?

NEW
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$5,172 Vol.

Polymarket

September 25

$1,881 Vol.

2%

September 30

$3,291 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Clavicular, the 20-year-old looksmaxxing streamer and influencer known as Braden Peters, faces mounting legal scrutiny that shapes trader views on arrest-related markets. Recent developments include September 8 charges in Massachusetts for rape, drugging a person for sex, and providing alcohol to a minor stemming from a 2025 incident at his family’s Cape Cod home, with arraignment set for October 14. Prior Florida arrests in February and March 2026 involved misdemeanor battery tied to an instigated fight he allegedly filmed and posted, plus earlier felony counts for false ID use. These cases, alongside a July Miami nightclub detention without formal charges, reflect his pattern of viral controversies in the manosphere content space. Upcoming court milestones and any new enforcement actions could shift implied probabilities as traders weigh resolution criteria against historical patterns of influencer legal outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:

(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.

An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts.

The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.

Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.

Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,172
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070be91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Clavicular, the 20-year-old looksmaxxing streamer and influencer known as Braden Peters, faces mounting legal scrutiny that shapes trader views on arrest-related markets. Recent developments include September 8 charges in Massachusetts for rape, drugging a person for sex, and providing alcohol to a minor stemming from a 2025 incident at his family’s Cape Cod home, with arraignment set for October 14. Prior Florida arrests in February and March 2026 involved misdemeanor battery tied to an instigated fight he allegedly filmed and posted, plus earlier felony counts for false ID use. These cases, alongside a July Miami nightclub detention without formal charges, reflect his pattern of viral controversies in the manosphere content space. Upcoming court milestones and any new enforcement actions could shift implied probabilities as traders weigh resolution criteria against historical patterns of influencer legal outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:

(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.

An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts.

The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.

Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.

Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,172
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070be91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Clavicular arrested by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "September 30" at 6%, followed by "September 25" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Clavicular arrested by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Clavicular arrested by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Clavicular arrested by...?" is "September 30" at just 6%, with "September 25" close behind at 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Clavicular arrested by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.