Recent developments in crude oil markets center on sharply lower prices following reports of a potential U.S.-Iran agreement that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ease sanctions on Iranian exports, boosting near-term global supply. WTI futures have fallen toward the mid-70s as of mid-June 2026, pressuring the front-month contract ahead of settlement. This shift has concentrated trader positioning around the $70-$77 range while leaving room for volatility from inventory reports, OPEC+ responses, and any last-minute geopolitical setbacks. With probabilities distributed across adjacent buckets, outcomes hinge on whether supply relief materializes before month-end or if demand resilience and lingering disruptions support a rebound into higher ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoA cosa si stabilizzerà il petrolio greggio (CL) a giugno?
$70-$77 34.7%
$77-$84 27%
>$84 17%
$63-$70 11.0%
$245,916 Vol.
$245,916 Vol.
Sotto $42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49–$56
1%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
11%
$70-$77
35%
$77-$84
27%
>$84
17%
$70-$77 34.7%
$77-$84 27%
>$84 17%
$63-$70 11.0%
$245,916 Vol.
$245,916 Vol.
Sotto $42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49–$56
1%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
11%
$70-$77
35%
$77-$84
27%
>$84
17%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in crude oil markets center on sharply lower prices following reports of a potential U.S.-Iran agreement that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ease sanctions on Iranian exports, boosting near-term global supply. WTI futures have fallen toward the mid-70s as of mid-June 2026, pressuring the front-month contract ahead of settlement. This shift has concentrated trader positioning around the $70-$77 range while leaving room for volatility from inventory reports, OPEC+ responses, and any last-minute geopolitical setbacks. With probabilities distributed across adjacent buckets, outcomes hinge on whether supply relief materializes before month-end or if demand resilience and lingering disruptions support a rebound into higher ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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