Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a closely contested outlook for June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement, with $4,600-$5,000 holding a slim 20% implied probability edge over $4,200-$4,600 (18.4%) and $5,000-$5,400 (17.1%), mirroring June futures trading around $4,850 after a 1.5% rally on April 17 amid U.S. dollar weakness. Sustained central bank buying and ETF inflows underpin the upper bins, bolstered by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts—market pricing 25 basis points by June—while persistent inflation above target supports haven demand. Downside risks hinge on hotter-than-expected April CPI (due mid-May) or hawkish FOMC signals, potentially strengthening the dollar and favoring lower ranges; watch Treasury yields and DXY for swing catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSu cosa si stabilirà Gold (GC) a giugno?
Su cosa si stabilirà Gold (GC) a giugno?
$4.600-$5.000 20%
$4.200-$4.600 18.5%
$5.000-$5.400 17.1%
$5.400-$5.800 14%
$893,353 Vol.
$893,353 Vol.
<$3.800
5%
$3.800-$4.200
11%
$4.200-$4.600
19%
$4.600-$5.000
20%
$5.000-$5.400
17%
$5.400-$5.800
14%
$5.800-$6.200
8%
>$6.200
4%
$4.600-$5.000 20%
$4.200-$4.600 18.5%
$5.000-$5.400 17.1%
$5.400-$5.800 14%
$893,353 Vol.
$893,353 Vol.
<$3.800
5%
$3.800-$4.200
11%
$4.200-$4.600
19%
$4.600-$5.000
20%
$5.000-$5.400
17%
$5.400-$5.800
14%
$5.800-$6.200
8%
>$6.200
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a closely contested outlook for June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement, with $4,600-$5,000 holding a slim 20% implied probability edge over $4,200-$4,600 (18.4%) and $5,000-$5,400 (17.1%), mirroring June futures trading around $4,850 after a 1.5% rally on April 17 amid U.S. dollar weakness. Sustained central bank buying and ETF inflows underpin the upper bins, bolstered by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts—market pricing 25 basis points by June—while persistent inflation above target supports haven demand. Downside risks hinge on hotter-than-expected April CPI (due mid-May) or hawkish FOMC signals, potentially strengthening the dollar and favoring lower ranges; watch Treasury yields and DXY for swing catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti