Recent strength in U.S. economic data, including May nonfarm payrolls exceeding expectations and May CPI rising to 4.2% amid energy price spikes tied to Iran-related supply disruptions, has lifted expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance and reduced prospects for near-term rate cuts. This dynamic, combined with a firmer U.S. dollar and higher Treasury yields, has weighed on gold prices, which recently settled near $4,090 for the front-month contract after pulling back from earlier 2026 peaks above $5,500. Persistent central bank purchases continue to provide underlying support, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated in the $3,800–$4,600 range for June settlement as markets weigh these crosscurrents ahead of the contract's expiration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSu cosa si stabilirà Gold (GC) a giugno?
$3.800-$4.200 53.7%
$4.200-$4.600 40.8%
$4.600-$5.000 2.9%
<$3.800 2.4%
$1,074,381 Vol.
$1,074,381 Vol.
<$3.800
2%
$3.800-$4.200
51%
$4.200-$4.600
41%
$4.600-$5.000
3%
$5.000-$5.400
<1%
$5.400-$5.800
1%
$5.800-$6.200
<1%
>$6.200
<1%
$3.800-$4.200 53.7%
$4.200-$4.600 40.8%
$4.600-$5.000 2.9%
<$3.800 2.4%
$1,074,381 Vol.
$1,074,381 Vol.
<$3.800
2%
$3.800-$4.200
51%
$4.200-$4.600
41%
$4.600-$5.000
3%
$5.000-$5.400
<1%
$5.400-$5.800
1%
$5.800-$6.200
<1%
>$6.200
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent strength in U.S. economic data, including May nonfarm payrolls exceeding expectations and May CPI rising to 4.2% amid energy price spikes tied to Iran-related supply disruptions, has lifted expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance and reduced prospects for near-term rate cuts. This dynamic, combined with a firmer U.S. dollar and higher Treasury yields, has weighed on gold prices, which recently settled near $4,090 for the front-month contract after pulling back from earlier 2026 peaks above $5,500. Persistent central bank purchases continue to provide underlying support, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated in the $3,800–$4,600 range for June settlement as markets weigh these crosscurrents ahead of the contract's expiration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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