Geopolitical disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated production shut-ins averaging over 10 million barrels per day in April and May, have driven WTI crude prices sharply higher, with Brent averaging around $106 per barrel in May and June according to the EIA. This supply shock has outweighed softer global demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA, supporting elevated levels near term despite expectations for gradual resumption of flows and inventory rebuilding later in the quarter. Trader focus centers on the pace of supply recovery, OPEC+ output decisions at the June 7 meeting, and any shifts in U.S. production or Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases that could influence the market balance heading into end-of-June settlement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPetrolio greggio (CL) sopra ___ fine giugno?
Petrolio greggio (CL) sopra ___ fine giugno?
$127,195 Vol.
30 giu 2026
90 dollari
47%
85 dollari
54%
80 $
70%
75 $
86%
70$
89%
65$
92%
$63
94%
$60
94%
56 dollari
96%
$55
95%
$52
98%
50 dollari
97%
$127,195 Vol.
90 dollari
$25,907 Vol.
47%
85 dollari
$5,793 Vol.
54%
80 $
$5,937 Vol.
70%
75 $
$16,756 Vol.
86%
70$
$19,604 Vol.
89%
65$
$872 Vol.
92%
$63
$8,961 Vol.
94%
$60
$21,068 Vol.
94%
56 dollari
$4,950 Vol.
96%
$55
$2,914 Vol.
95%
$52
$6,332 Vol.
98%
50 dollari
$8,100 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated production shut-ins averaging over 10 million barrels per day in April and May, have driven WTI crude prices sharply higher, with Brent averaging around $106 per barrel in May and June according to the EIA. This supply shock has outweighed softer global demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA, supporting elevated levels near term despite expectations for gradual resumption of flows and inventory rebuilding later in the quarter. Trader focus centers on the pace of supply recovery, OPEC+ output decisions at the June 7 meeting, and any shifts in U.S. production or Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases that could influence the market balance heading into end-of-June settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$127,195Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated production shut-ins averaging over 10 million barrels per day in April and May, have driven WTI crude prices sharply higher, with Brent averaging around $106 per barrel in May and June according to the EIA. This supply shock has outweighed softer global demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA, supporting elevated levels near term despite expectations for gradual resumption of flows and inventory rebuilding later in the quarter. Trader focus centers on the pace of supply recovery, OPEC+ output decisions at the June 7 meeting, and any shifts in U.S. production or Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases that could influence the market balance heading into end-of-June settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$127,195Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated production shut-ins averaging over 10 million barrels per day in April and May, have driven WTI crude prices sharply higher, with Brent averaging around $106 per barrel in May and June according to the EIA. This supply shock has outweighed softer global demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA, supporting elevated levels near term despite expectations for gradual resumption of flows and inventory rebuilding later in the quarter. Trader focus centers on the pace of supply recovery, OPEC+ output decisions at the June 7 meeting, and any shifts in U.S. production or Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases that could influence the market balance heading into end-of-June settlement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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