Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February have triggered Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, driving sharp global inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels daily in Q2 2026. These dynamics have lifted WTI crude to the mid-to-high $80s in late May. OPEC+ approved a modest 188,000 barrel-per-day quota increase effective June, though actual output remains constrained, while EIA forecasts point to prices easing as flows normalize later in the quarter. Weekly inventory releases, any progress on reopening the strait, and the June 7 OPEC+ meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could influence settlement levels for the active CL contract on the final trading day of June.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPetrolio greggio (CL) sopra ___ fine giugno?
Petrolio greggio (CL) sopra ___ fine giugno?
$127,154 Vol.
30 giu 2026
90 dollari
48%
85 dollari
53%
80 $
70%
75 $
78%
70$
89%
65$
92%
$63
95%
$60
94%
56 dollari
96%
$55
95%
$52
98%
50 dollari
97%
$127,154 Vol.
90 dollari
$25,907 Vol.
48%
85 dollari
$5,793 Vol.
53%
80 $
$5,937 Vol.
70%
75 $
$16,716 Vol.
78%
70$
$19,604 Vol.
89%
65$
$872 Vol.
92%
$63
$8,961 Vol.
95%
$60
$21,068 Vol.
94%
56 dollari
$4,950 Vol.
96%
$55
$2,914 Vol.
95%
$52
$6,332 Vol.
98%
50 dollari
$8,100 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February have triggered Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, driving sharp global inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels daily in Q2 2026. These dynamics have lifted WTI crude to the mid-to-high $80s in late May. OPEC+ approved a modest 188,000 barrel-per-day quota increase effective June, though actual output remains constrained, while EIA forecasts point to prices easing as flows normalize later in the quarter. Weekly inventory releases, any progress on reopening the strait, and the June 7 OPEC+ meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could influence settlement levels for the active CL contract on the final trading day of June.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$127,154Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February have triggered Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, driving sharp global inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels daily in Q2 2026. These dynamics have lifted WTI crude to the mid-to-high $80s in late May. OPEC+ approved a modest 188,000 barrel-per-day quota increase effective June, though actual output remains constrained, while EIA forecasts point to prices easing as flows normalize later in the quarter. Weekly inventory releases, any progress on reopening the strait, and the June 7 OPEC+ meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could influence settlement levels for the active CL contract on the final trading day of June.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$127,154Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February have triggered Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, driving sharp global inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels daily in Q2 2026. These dynamics have lifted WTI crude to the mid-to-high $80s in late May. OPEC+ approved a modest 188,000 barrel-per-day quota increase effective June, though actual output remains constrained, while EIA forecasts point to prices easing as flows normalize later in the quarter. Weekly inventory releases, any progress on reopening the strait, and the June 7 OPEC+ meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could influence settlement levels for the active CL contract on the final trading day of June.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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