Geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz, fueled by US-Iran tensions, remain the dominant driver elevating WTI crude oil (CL) prices, with the June 2026 NYMEX futures contract (CLM6) trading near $96 per barrel amid a year-to-date surge exceeding 85%. The latest EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ending May 1 revealed U.S. crude inventories at 457.2 million barrels, about 1% above the five-year average, signaling ample supply that caps upside. OPEC+ production quotas continue supporting elevated levels, offset by robust non-OPEC output growth and softening global demand signals from China. Key near-term catalysts include the May 13 EIA inventory update, OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, and prospective ministerial consultations, all pivotal for June-end settlement dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPetrolio greggio (CL) sopra ___ fine giugno?
Petrolio greggio (CL) sopra ___ fine giugno?
$119,314 Vol.
90 dollari
60%
85 dollari
61%
80 $
67%
75 $
77%
70$
84%
65$
88%
$63
93%
$60
93%
56 dollari
96%
$55
94%
$52
96%
50 dollari
93%
$119,314 Vol.
90 dollari
60%
85 dollari
61%
80 $
67%
75 $
77%
70$
84%
65$
88%
$63
93%
$60
93%
56 dollari
96%
$55
94%
$52
96%
50 dollari
93%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz, fueled by US-Iran tensions, remain the dominant driver elevating WTI crude oil (CL) prices, with the June 2026 NYMEX futures contract (CLM6) trading near $96 per barrel amid a year-to-date surge exceeding 85%. The latest EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ending May 1 revealed U.S. crude inventories at 457.2 million barrels, about 1% above the five-year average, signaling ample supply that caps upside. OPEC+ production quotas continue supporting elevated levels, offset by robust non-OPEC output growth and softening global demand signals from China. Key near-term catalysts include the May 13 EIA inventory update, OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, and prospective ministerial consultations, all pivotal for June-end settlement dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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