Recent progress toward a U.S.-Iran agreement and extended Middle East ceasefire has sharply reduced the geopolitical risk premium, driving WTI crude prices down roughly 5% in a single session to the 76-80 range as of June 17. Traders are repricing expectations for faster resumption of flows through the Strait of Hormuz, with inventories drawing but global demand showing signs of softening amid elevated prices earlier in the quarter. Market-implied odds for near-term rebounds now hinge on any last-minute setbacks to the diplomatic process or unexpected supply disruptions before month-end. With resolution only two weeks away, fresh EIA inventory data and central-bank commentary on growth will serve as the next immediate catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl petrolio greggio (CL) raggiungerà__ entro la fine di giugno?
$28,818,632 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
3%
↑ $95
5%
↓ $80
100%
↓ $75
80%
↓ $70
30%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
<1%
↓ $45
<1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $35
<1%
$28,818,632 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
3%
↑ $95
5%
↓ $80
100%
↓ $75
80%
↓ $70
30%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
<1%
↓ $45
<1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $35
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent progress toward a U.S.-Iran agreement and extended Middle East ceasefire has sharply reduced the geopolitical risk premium, driving WTI crude prices down roughly 5% in a single session to the 76-80 range as of June 17. Traders are repricing expectations for faster resumption of flows through the Strait of Hormuz, with inventories drawing but global demand showing signs of softening amid elevated prices earlier in the quarter. Market-implied odds for near-term rebounds now hinge on any last-minute setbacks to the diplomatic process or unexpected supply disruptions before month-end. With resolution only two weeks away, fresh EIA inventory data and central-bank commentary on growth will serve as the next immediate catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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