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CA-19 Primary Winners

icon for CA-19 Primary Winners

CA-19 Primary Winners

НОВОЕ
2 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$3,307 Объем

Polymarket

Jimmy Panetta

$1,364 Объем

97%

Peter Verbica

$185 Объем

32%

Sean Dougherty

$55 Объем

38%

Tuka Gafari

$106 Объем

14%

Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera

$192 Объем

4%

Lars Mapstead

$55 Объем

2%

Thomas Coxe

$1,350 Объем

2%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta enters the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 19th Congressional District as the clear frontrunner, backed by his established name recognition and the district's strong Democratic lean across Monterey, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, and San Luis Obispo counties. Filing closed in March with a field that includes Democratic challenger Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian candidates. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on housing costs, foreign policy spending, and donor influence, though Panetta has faced limited organized opposition. With the nonpartisan system advancing the top two vote-getters to November regardless of party, trader consensus reflects expectations that Panetta will advance alongside one other contender, most likely a Republican given the modest GOP field and low Democratic primary competition. No major late developments have altered this positioning in the final week before the vote.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$3,307
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta enters the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 19th Congressional District as the clear frontrunner, backed by his established name recognition and the district's strong Democratic lean across Monterey, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, and San Luis Obispo counties. Filing closed in March with a field that includes Democratic challenger Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian candidates. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on housing costs, foreign policy spending, and donor influence, though Panetta has faced limited organized opposition. With the nonpartisan system advancing the top two vote-getters to November regardless of party, trader consensus reflects expectations that Panetta will advance alongside one other contender, most likely a Republican given the modest GOP field and low Democratic primary competition. No major late developments have altered this positioning in the final week before the vote.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$3,307
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«CA-19 Primary Winners» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Jimmy Panetta» с 97%, за ним следует «Sean Dougherty» с 38%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 97¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«CA-19 Primary Winners» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 27, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «CA-19 Primary Winners», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «CA-19 Primary Winners» — «Jimmy Panetta» с 97%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Sean Dougherty» с 38%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «CA-19 Primary Winners» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.