California's 14th congressional district features overlapping contests following Eric Swalwell's resignation, including a June 2 top-two primary for the November general election and a special primary set for June 16 to fill the remaining term. In the June 2 results, state Sen. Aisha Wahab led with 38.5% of the vote, followed by Melissa Hernandez at 17.1%, positioning both Democrats to advance under California's nonpartisan primary rules while Republican candidates trailed. The upcoming special primary on June 16, with a general election on August 18 if needed, centers on the same field of candidates and could further clarify frontrunner positioning ahead of the November ballot. Trader assessments of primary winners reflect these vote shares, candidate endorsements, and the compressed timeline created by the vacancy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCA-14 Primary Winners
CA-14 Primary Winners
$5,118 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Aisha Wahab
99%
Melissa Hernandez
99%
Suzanne Chenault
3%
Carin Elam
2%
Wendy Huang
2%
Matt Ortega
2%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
<1%
$5,118 Vol.
Aisha Wahab
$612 Vol.
99%
Melissa Hernandez
$528 Vol.
99%
Suzanne Chenault
$140 Vol.
3%
Carin Elam
$192 Vol.
2%
Wendy Huang
$1,090 Vol.
2%
Matt Ortega
$837 Vol.
2%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
$200 Vol.
1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
$1,520 Vol.
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 14th congressional district features overlapping contests following Eric Swalwell's resignation, including a June 2 top-two primary for the November general election and a special primary set for June 16 to fill the remaining term. In the June 2 results, state Sen. Aisha Wahab led with 38.5% of the vote, followed by Melissa Hernandez at 17.1%, positioning both Democrats to advance under California's nonpartisan primary rules while Republican candidates trailed. The upcoming special primary on June 16, with a general election on August 18 if needed, centers on the same field of candidates and could further clarify frontrunner positioning ahead of the November ballot. Trader assessments of primary winners reflect these vote shares, candidate endorsements, and the compressed timeline created by the vacancy.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$5,118Data de Término
2 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 14th congressional district features overlapping contests following Eric Swalwell's resignation, including a June 2 top-two primary for the November general election and a special primary set for June 16 to fill the remaining term. In the June 2 results, state Sen. Aisha Wahab led with 38.5% of the vote, followed by Melissa Hernandez at 17.1%, positioning both Democrats to advance under California's nonpartisan primary rules while Republican candidates trailed. The upcoming special primary on June 16, with a general election on August 18 if needed, centers on the same field of candidates and could further clarify frontrunner positioning ahead of the November ballot. Trader assessments of primary winners reflect these vote shares, candidate endorsements, and the compressed timeline created by the vacancy.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,118Data de Término
2 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's 14th congressional district features overlapping contests following Eric Swalwell's resignation, including a June 2 top-two primary for the November general election and a special primary set for June 16 to fill the remaining term. In the June 2 results, state Sen. Aisha Wahab led with 38.5% of the vote, followed by Melissa Hernandez at 17.1%, positioning both Democrats to advance under California's nonpartisan primary rules while Republican candidates trailed. The upcoming special primary on June 16, with a general election on August 18 if needed, centers on the same field of candidates and could further clarify frontrunner positioning ahead of the November ballot. Trader assessments of primary winners reflect these vote shares, candidate endorsements, and the compressed timeline created by the vacancy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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