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icon for Bitboy divorce by Oct 14?

Bitboy divorce by Oct 14?

icon for Bitboy divorce by Oct 14?

Bitboy divorce by Oct 14?

0% chance
Polymarket

$258 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$258 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben ‘Bitboy’ Armstrong and/or his wife Bethany Armstrong announce that they are getting a divorce by October 14, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, an announcement by either Ben, Bethany, or both, will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements by Ben and/or Bethany (these may be made via social media, e.g. https://twitter.com/BenArmstrongsX, https://www.instagram.com/bethanyreadsalot/, etc), or statements made on their behalf by their official and/or legal representatives. However, credible reporting from other sources of either of them saying they will get divorced may be used (i.e. Bethany shouts in a restaurant that she is divorcing Ben and footage of the encounter is leaked).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben ‘Bitboy’ Armstrong and/or his wife Bethany Armstrong announce that they are getting a divorce by October 14, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, an announcement by either Ben, Bethany, or both, will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements by Ben and/or Bethany (these may be made via social media, e.g. https://twitter.com/BenArmstrongsX, https://www.instagram.com/bethanyreadsalot/, etc), or statements made on their behalf by their official and/or legal representatives. However, credible reporting from other sources of either of them saying they will get divorced may be used (i.e. Bethany shouts in a restaurant that she is divorcing Ben and footage of the encounter is leaked).
Volume
$258
End Date
Oct 14, 2023
Market Opened
Sep 26, 2023, 1:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben ‘Bitboy’ Armstrong and/or his wife Bethany Armstrong announce that they are getting a divorce by October 14, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, an announcement by either Ben, Bethany, or both, will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements by Ben and/or Bethany (these may be made via social media, e.g. https://twitter.com/BenArmstrongsX, https://www.instagram.com/bethanyreadsalot/, etc), or statements made on their behalf by their official and/or legal representatives. However, credible reporting from other sources of either of them saying they will get divorced may be used (i.e. Bethany shouts in a restaurant that she is divorcing Ben and footage of the encounter is leaked).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben ‘Bitboy’ Armstrong and/or his wife Bethany Armstrong announce that they are getting a divorce by October 14, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, an announcement by either Ben, Bethany, or both, will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements by Ben and/or Bethany (these may be made via social media, e.g. https://twitter.com/BenArmstrongsX, https://www.instagram.com/bethanyreadsalot/, etc), or statements made on their behalf by their official and/or legal representatives. However, credible reporting from other sources of either of them saying they will get divorced may be used (i.e. Bethany shouts in a restaurant that she is divorcing Ben and footage of the encounter is leaked).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben ‘Bitboy’ Armstrong and/or his wife Bethany Armstrong announce that they are getting a divorce by October 14, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, an announcement by either Ben, Bethany, or both, will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements by Ben and/or Bethany (these may be made via social media, e.g. https://twitter.com/BenArmstrongsX, https://www.instagram.com/bethanyreadsalot/, etc), or statements made on their behalf by their official and/or legal representatives. However, credible reporting from other sources of either of them saying they will get divorced may be used (i.e. Bethany shouts in a restaurant that she is divorcing Ben and footage of the encounter is leaked).
Volume
$258
End Date
Oct 14, 2023
Market Opened
Sep 26, 2023, 1:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben ‘Bitboy’ Armstrong and/or his wife Bethany Armstrong announce that they are getting a divorce by October 14, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, an announcement by either Ben, Bethany, or both, will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements by Ben and/or Bethany (these may be made via social media, e.g. https://twitter.com/BenArmstrongsX, https://www.instagram.com/bethanyreadsalot/, etc), or statements made on their behalf by their official and/or legal representatives. However, credible reporting from other sources of either of them saying they will get divorced may be used (i.e. Bethany shouts in a restaurant that she is divorcing Ben and footage of the encounter is leaked).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bitboy divorce by Oct 14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Bitboy divorce by Oct 14?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 26, 2023. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Bitboy divorce by Oct 14?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Bitboy divorce by Oct 14?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Bitboy divorce by Oct 14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.