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President Biden's Jan 19 press conference: Will he mention... ?

Market icon

President Biden's Jan 19 press conference: Will he mention... ?

$5,005 Vol.

Jan 19, 2022
Polymarket

$5,005 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

...Trump?

$934 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

...Russia?

$1,130 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

...China?

$478 Vol.

Yes

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...reset?

$984 Vol.

No

Market icon

...anti-vaxxers?

$475 Vol.

No

Market icon

...Manchin, Sinema or filibuster?

$1,004 Vol.

Yes

This is a market on whether President Biden will mention Donald Trump during his press conference scheduled for January 19 2022, 4 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says "Trump" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, official transcript and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” References to Donald Trump will not count - only the exact phrasing of his last name will be considered. This will be President Biden's first press conference of 2022, the eve of the first anniversary of when he took office. The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84mwq17t8NwThis is a market on whether President Biden will mention Russia during his press conference scheduled for January 19 2022, 4 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says at least one of the following words: “Russia”, "Russian", or "Moscow" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, official transcript and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” References to the country of Russia or its president will not count - only the exact phrasings listed above will be considered. This will be President Biden's first press conference of 2022, the eve of the first anniversary of when he took office. The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84mwq17t8NwThis is a market on whether President Biden will mention China during his press conference scheduled for January 19 2022, 4 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says at least one of the following words: “China”, "Chinese", or "Beijing" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, official transcript and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” References to the People's Republic of China or its president will not count - only the exact phrasings listed above will be considered. This will be President Biden's first press conference of 2022, the eve of the first anniversary of when he took office. The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84mwq17t8NwThis is a market on whether President Biden will mention "reset" during his press conference scheduled for January 19 2022, 4 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says at least one of the following words: “reset”, or "resetting" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, official transcript and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Please note that only the exact phrasings listed above will be considered. This will be President Biden's first press conference of 2022, the eve of the first anniversary of when he took office. The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84mwq17t8NwThis is a market on whether President Biden will mention "anti-vaxxers" during his press conference scheduled for January 19 2022, 4 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says at least one of the following words: “anti-vax”, "anti-vaxxer", or "anti-vaxxers" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, official transcript and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” References to people who are against vaccination will not count - only the exact phrasings listed above will be considered. This will be President Biden's first press conference of 2022, the eve of the first anniversary of when he took office. The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84mwq17t8NwThis is a market on whether President Biden will mention Manchin, Sinema, or filibuster during his press conference scheduled for January 19 2022, 4 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says at least one of the following words: “Manchin”, "Sinema", or "filibuster" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, official transcript and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” References to the aforementioned senators or to the filibuster procedure will not count - only the exact phrasings listed above will be considered. This will be President Biden's first press conference of 2022, the eve of the first anniversary of when he took office. The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84mwq17t8Nw

This is a market on whether President Biden will mention Donald Trump during his press conference scheduled for January 19 2022, 4 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says "Trump" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, official transcript and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” References to Donald Trump will not count - only the exact phrasing of his last name will be considered. This will be President Biden's first press conference of 2022, the eve of the first anniversary of when he took office. The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84mwq17t8NwThis is a market on whether President Biden will mention Russia during his press conference scheduled for January 19 2022, 4 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says at least one of the following words: “Russia”, "Russian", or "Moscow" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, official transcript and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” References to the country of Russia or its president will not count - only the exact phrasings listed above will be considered. This will be President Biden's first press conference of 2022, the eve of the first anniversary of when he took office. The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84mwq17t8NwThis is a market on whether President Biden will mention China during his press conference scheduled for January 19 2022, 4 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says at least one of the following words: “China”, "Chinese", or "Beijing" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, official transcript and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” References to the People's Republic of China or its president will not count - only the exact phrasings listed above will be considered. This will be President Biden's first press conference of 2022, the eve of the first anniversary of when he took office. The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84mwq17t8NwThis is a market on whether President Biden will mention "reset" during his press conference scheduled for January 19 2022, 4 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says at least one of the following words: “reset”, or "resetting" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, official transcript and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Please note that only the exact phrasings listed above will be considered. This will be President Biden's first press conference of 2022, the eve of the first anniversary of when he took office. The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84mwq17t8NwThis is a market on whether President Biden will mention "anti-vaxxers" during his press conference scheduled for January 19 2022, 4 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says at least one of the following words: “anti-vax”, "anti-vaxxer", or "anti-vaxxers" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, official transcript and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” References to people who are against vaccination will not count - only the exact phrasings listed above will be considered. This will be President Biden's first press conference of 2022, the eve of the first anniversary of when he took office. The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84mwq17t8NwThis is a market on whether President Biden will mention Manchin, Sinema, or filibuster during his press conference scheduled for January 19 2022, 4 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says at least one of the following words: “Manchin”, "Sinema", or "filibuster" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, official transcript and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” References to the aforementioned senators or to the filibuster procedure will not count - only the exact phrasings listed above will be considered. This will be President Biden's first press conference of 2022, the eve of the first anniversary of when he took office. The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84mwq17t8Nw

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Frequently Asked Questions

"President Biden's Jan 19 press conference: Will he mention... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "...Trump?" at 100%, followed by "...Russia?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"President Biden's Jan 19 press conference: Will he mention... ?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 19, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "President Biden's Jan 19 press conference: Will he mention... ?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "President Biden's Jan 19 press conference: Will he mention... ?" is "...Trump?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "...Russia?" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "President Biden's Jan 19 press conference: Will he mention... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.