Name: Berhalter sacked before August?
Start: 2024-07-02T22:20:46.926799Z
End: 2024-07-31T12:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gregg Berhalter ceases to be the manager of the USMNT for any length of time between July 1, 2024, and July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement of his departure before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the USMNT, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Berhalter sacked before August?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arne Slot ceases to be manager of Liverpool F.C. for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Arne Slot's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Liverpool F.C. and/or Arne Slot, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Arne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the name of the next NFL head coach fired during the 2025-2026 NFL season. 

If no NFL head coach is fired by February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Mike McCoy be the next NFL Head Coach fired?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between December 1, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

As of market creation, the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to end on July 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudio Fabián Tapia ceases to be President of the Argentine Football Association (AFA) for any length of time between this market's creation and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Tapia's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the AFA and/or Claudio Fabián Tapia; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xabi Alonso ceases to be manager of Real Madrid for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Xabi Alonso's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Real Madrid and/or Xabi Alonso, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill Belichick announces that he will resign from his position as head coach of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill football team, or otherwise ceases to be head coach for any length of time, by the end of the 2025 college football season (scheduled to conclude January 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to Yes, regardless of if or when he actually steps down.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill or official statements by Bill Belichick or his representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Belichick out by end of 2025 college football season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conrad Kramer ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.

An official announcement of Conrad’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Conrad indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Goals scored in Bundesliga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., DFB-Pokal, German Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?

This market will resolve according to the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football Team.

An announcement from the University of Michigan that they have hired a new permanent football head coach will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of whether the new head coach has officially started their role. 

Interim, acting, or temporary head coaches will not count. 

If no qualifying announcement of a new permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football Team has been made by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the University of Michigan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Kyle Whittingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Bundesliga tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to begin on Thursday, June 11, and conclude on Sunday, July 19. More information about the match schedule can be found here (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026/articles/match-schedule-fixtures-results-teams-stadiums). According to ESPN, there have been complaints about the summertime heat across America, causing FIFA to consider relocating the 2026 World Cup out of the United States.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any game originally scheduled to be held in the U.S. to be relocated to a location outside of the U.S. by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. 

The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between December 16, 2025, and the March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Wiles' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next head coach of the New York Giants.

Interim coaches will not qualify. If no new coach is named by April 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". 

The resolution source for this market is official information from the New York Giants, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jeff Hafley be the next Giants Head Coach?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abdul-Malik al-Houthi, current leader of the Yemeni Houthis, is removed from power for any length of time between Sepember 1, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Abdul-Malik will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (Hemedti), current head of the sudanese paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), is removed from power for any length of time between August 27, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Hemedti will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Hemedti out of power by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Governor Tim Walz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Tim Walz charged by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.

Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.

Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 Bundesliga.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Bundesliga. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 24 of the league phase), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bayern Munich advance to the round of 16?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Adam Schiff between August 20, and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the governing coalition consisting of CDU/CSU and SPD breaks by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market, the coalition is considered broken if either CDU/CSU or SPD ceases to be a coalition partner in the federal government.

A coalition break may be evidenced by:
– a formal withdrawal from the coalition,
– the resignation or dismissal of all ministers from one party,
– or the appointment of a new federal government.

If all ministers affiliated with one of the coalition parties resign or are dismissed, this may signal that party’s withdrawal from the coalition, even if one or more individuals remain in office as independents or continue without representing the party.

If the coalition breaks and the sitting Chancellor remains in office with a new coalition or as a minority government, this market will still resolve to “Yes.”

The break date is the date on which it becomes officially confirmed that the coalition has broken; mere reports of negotiations, speculation, or indications of an impending break will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the German government; however, a consensus of credible reporting from major reputable news outlets may also be used.

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fetterman leaves the Democratic Party by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes switching to the Republican Party, registering as an Independent, or affiliating with any other political party. An official announcement from Fetterman stating that he is leaving the Democratic Party or will no longer caucus with the Democrats will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.

The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from John Fetterman or a change in his registration in government records. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Berhalter sacked before August?

Market Context

Berhalter sacked before August?

Rules

Berhalter sacked before August?

Market Context

Berhalter sacked before August?

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