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Ballon d'Or Winner

Market icon

Ballon d'Or Winner

Rodri 99.7%

Jude Bellingham <1%

Dani Carvajal <1%

Lamine Yamal <1%

Polymarket

$40,154,545 Vol.

Rodri 99.7%

Jude Bellingham <1%

Dani Carvajal <1%

Lamine Yamal <1%

Polymarket

$40,154,545 Vol.

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Rodri

$807,072 Vol.

Yes

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Jude Bellingham

$603,216 Vol.

No

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Dani Carvajal

$629,028 Vol.

No

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Lamine Yamal

$1,034,067 Vol.

No

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Lionel Messi

$6,976,098 Vol.

No

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Nico Williams

$5,686,967 Vol.

No

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Toni Kroos

$4,340,141 Vol.

No

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Kylian Mbappe

$3,193,237 Vol.

No

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Harry Kane

$6,241,330 Vol.

No

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Phil Foden

$6,183,473 Vol.

No

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Erling Haaland

$621,239 Vol.

No

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Other

$2,433,529 Vol.

No

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Vinicius Jr

$1,405,149 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rodrigo Hernández Cascante wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jude Bellingham wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dani Carvajal wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lamine Yamal wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lionel Messi wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nico Williams wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Toni Kroos wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kylian Mbappe wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Harry Kane wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Phil Foden wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Erling Haaland wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player other than Vinicius Jr, Rodri, Jude Bellingham, Dani Carvajal, Lamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Nico Williams, Toni Kroos, Kylian Mbappe, Harry Kane, Phil Foden, or Erling Haaland wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vinicius Jr wins the 2024 Ballon D’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vinicius Jr wins the 2024 Ballon D’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$40,154,545
End Date
Oct 28, 2024
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2024, 8:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vinicius Jr wins the 2024 Ballon D’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rodrigo Hernández Cascante wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jude Bellingham wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dani Carvajal wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lamine Yamal wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lionel Messi wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nico Williams wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Toni Kroos wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kylian Mbappe wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Harry Kane wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Phil Foden wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Erling Haaland wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player other than Vinicius Jr, Rodri, Jude Bellingham, Dani Carvajal, Lamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Nico Williams, Toni Kroos, Kylian Mbappe, Harry Kane, Phil Foden, or Erling Haaland wins the 2024 Ballon d’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vinicius Jr wins the 2024 Ballon D’Or. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

" Ballon d'Or Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rodri" at 100%, followed by "Jude Bellingham" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, " Ballon d'Or Winner" has generated $40.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 4, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on " Ballon d'Or Winner," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for " Ballon d'Or Winner" is "Rodri" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jude Bellingham" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for " Ballon d'Or Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.