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BAFTA Award: Best Actor

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BAFTA Award: Best Actor

Adrien Brody - “The Brutalist” 100.0%

Hugh Grant - “Heretic” <1%

Timothée Chalamet - “A Complete Unknown” <1%

Ralph Finnes - “Conclave” <1%

Polymarket

$106,420 Vol.

Adrien Brody - “The Brutalist” 100.0%

Hugh Grant - “Heretic” <1%

Timothée Chalamet - “A Complete Unknown” <1%

Ralph Finnes - “Conclave” <1%

Polymarket

$106,420 Vol.

Adrien Brody - “The Brutalist”

$12,790 Vol.

Yes

Hugh Grant - “Heretic”

$15,636 Vol.

No

Ralph Finnes - “Conclave”

$24,376 Vol.

No

Timothée Chalamet - “A Complete Unknown”

$29,486 Vol.

No

Sebastian Stan - “The Apprentice"

$14,885 Vol.

No

Colman Domingo - “Sing Sing”

$9,246 Vol.

No

The 78th British Academy Film Awards, more commonly known as the BAFTAs, is an upcoming ceremony to be held on 16 February 2025, honoring the best national and foreign films of 2024, at the Royal Festival Hall within London's Southbank Centre. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the BAFTA for Best Actor in a Leading Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the British Academy of Film and Television Arts, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.bafta.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The 78th British Academy Film Awards, more commonly known as the BAFTAs, is an upcoming ceremony to be held on 16 February 2025, honoring the best national and foreign films of 2024, at the Royal Festival Hall within London's Southbank Centre.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the BAFTA for Best Actor in a Leading Role.

If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the British Academy of Film and Television Arts, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.bafta.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$106,420
End Date
Feb 16, 2025
Market Opened
Feb 11, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
The 78th British Academy Film Awards, more commonly known as the BAFTAs, is an upcoming ceremony to be held on 16 February 2025, honoring the best national and foreign films of 2024, at the Royal Festival Hall within London's Southbank Centre. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the BAFTA for Best Actor in a Leading Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the British Academy of Film and Television Arts, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.bafta.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

The 78th British Academy Film Awards, more commonly known as the BAFTAs, is an upcoming ceremony to be held on 16 February 2025, honoring the best national and foreign films of 2024, at the Royal Festival Hall within London's Southbank Centre. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the BAFTA for Best Actor in a Leading Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the British Academy of Film and Television Arts, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.bafta.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The 78th British Academy Film Awards, more commonly known as the BAFTAs, is an upcoming ceremony to be held on 16 February 2025, honoring the best national and foreign films of 2024, at the Royal Festival Hall within London's Southbank Centre.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the BAFTA for Best Actor in a Leading Role.

If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the British Academy of Film and Television Arts, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.bafta.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$106,420
End Date
Feb 16, 2025
Market Opened
Feb 11, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
The 78th British Academy Film Awards, more commonly known as the BAFTAs, is an upcoming ceremony to be held on 16 February 2025, honoring the best national and foreign films of 2024, at the Royal Festival Hall within London's Southbank Centre. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the BAFTA for Best Actor in a Leading Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the British Academy of Film and Television Arts, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.bafta.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"BAFTA Award: Best Actor" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adrien Brody - “The Brutalist”" at 100%, followed by "Hugh Grant - “Heretic”" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "BAFTA Award: Best Actor" has generated $106.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "BAFTA Award: Best Actor," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "BAFTA Award: Best Actor" is "Adrien Brody - “The Brutalist”" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hugh Grant - “Heretic”" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "BAFTA Award: Best Actor" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.