Morocco leads the AFCON 2027 winner market at 27.5% implied probability, followed closely by Senegal at 22.9% and Ivory Coast at 17%, with Egypt, Algeria, and others bunched behind, reflecting a tightly contested field. Recent developments include Morocco’s strong 2026 World Cup quarterfinal run and disputed 2025 AFCON title win after a controversial final against Senegal, alongside ongoing 2027 qualifiers that opened in September with high-profile matches such as Ivory Coast versus Ghana. Squad depth, FIFA rankings placing Morocco sixth globally, and the emergence of new coaches for several sides sustain competitive balance, while hosting concerns in Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda add uncertainty without yet shifting consensus significantly. The wisdom of crowds in the market prices realistic paths for multiple contenders given the continent’s talent distribution and historical upsets.