Traders see the 300-359 tweet range as the clearest consensus for Elon Musk’s activity from August 18-25, driven by his steady mix of Tesla updates, xAI commentary, and real-time reactions to news cycles. Historical patterns show weekly volumes often settle in this band absent major product launches or political flashpoints, while current market-implied odds remain tightly bunched because no single catalyst has yet dominated the period. Fresh earnings releases, regulatory developments, or high-profile posts could easily shift totals into adjacent bins, underscoring the inherent volatility in Musk’s posting rhythm and the wisdom-of-crowds edge that real-money traders apply when weighing these variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated320-339 16.4%
300-319 16.0%
340-359 14.8%
360-379 14.1%
$2,209,711 Vol.
$2,209,711 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
240-259
<1%
260-279
3%
280-299
9%
300-319
16%
320-339
16%
340-359
15%
360-379
14%
380-399
11%
400-419
7%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
2%
320-339 16.4%
300-319 16.0%
340-359 14.8%
360-379 14.1%
$2,209,711 Vol.
$2,209,711 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
240-259
$128,276 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$110,054 Vol.
3%
280-299
$125,691 Vol.
9%
300-319
$86,285 Vol.
16%
320-339
$66,088 Vol.
16%
340-359
$76,289 Vol.
15%
360-379
$78,348 Vol.
14%
380-399
$89,441 Vol.
11%
400-419
$107,301 Vol.
7%
420-439
$117,851 Vol.
3%
440-459
$92,551 Vol.
2%
460-479
$87,430 Vol.
1%
480-499
$83,975 Vol.
1%
500+
$122,292 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 300-359 tweet range as the clearest consensus for Elon Musk’s activity from August 18-25, driven by his steady mix of Tesla updates, xAI commentary, and real-time reactions to news cycles. Historical patterns show weekly volumes often settle in this band absent major product launches or political flashpoints, while current market-implied odds remain tightly bunched because no single catalyst has yet dominated the period. Fresh earnings releases, regulatory developments, or high-profile posts could easily shift totals into adjacent bins, underscoring the inherent volatility in Musk’s posting rhythm and the wisdom-of-crowds edge that real-money traders apply when weighing these variables.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$2,209,711End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 300-359 tweet range as the clearest consensus for Elon Musk’s activity from August 18-25, driven by his steady mix of Tesla updates, xAI commentary, and real-time reactions to news cycles. Historical patterns show weekly volumes often settle in this band absent major product launches or political flashpoints, while current market-implied odds remain tightly bunched because no single catalyst has yet dominated the period. Fresh earnings releases, regulatory developments, or high-profile posts could easily shift totals into adjacent bins, underscoring the inherent volatility in Musk’s posting rhythm and the wisdom-of-crowds edge that real-money traders apply when weighing these variables.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,209,711End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 300-359 tweet range as the clearest consensus for Elon Musk’s activity from August 18-25, driven by his steady mix of Tesla updates, xAI commentary, and real-time reactions to news cycles. Historical patterns show weekly volumes often settle in this band absent major product launches or political flashpoints, while current market-implied odds remain tightly bunched because no single catalyst has yet dominated the period. Fresh earnings releases, regulatory developments, or high-profile posts could easily shift totals into adjacent bins, underscoring the inherent volatility in Musk’s posting rhythm and the wisdom-of-crowds edge that real-money traders apply when weighing these variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions