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icon for 400m Winner (W)
Sports·Track

400m Winner (W)

icon for 400m Winner (W)
Sports·Track

400m Winner (W)

Marileidy Paulino (DOM) 99.7%

Other 9.9%

Natalia Kaczmarek (POL) 1.8%

Kendall Ellis (USA) <1%

Polymarket

$26,652 Vol.

Marileidy Paulino (DOM) 99.7%

Other 9.9%

Natalia Kaczmarek (POL) 1.8%

Kendall Ellis (USA) <1%

Polymarket

$26,652 Vol.

Kendall Ellis (USA)

$1,522 Vol.

No

Other

$1,349 Vol.

No

Marileidy Paulino (DOM)

$10,434 Vol.

Yes

Nickisha Pryce (JAM)

$2,536 Vol.

No

Natalia Kaczmarek (POL)

$4,505 Vol.

No

Rhasidat Adeleke (IRL)

$5,061 Vol.

No

Salwa Eid Naser (BRN)

$1,246 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kendall Ellis (USA) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if any athlete other than Marileidy Paulino, Nickisha Pryce, Natalia Kaczmarek, Rhasidat Adeleke, Salwa Eid Naser, or Kendall Ellis wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marileidy Paulino (DOM) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nickisha Pryce (JAM) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Natalia Kaczmarek (POL) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rhasidat Adeleke (IRL) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Salwa Eid Naser (BRN) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marileidy Paulino (DOM) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA.
If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).
Volume
$26,652
End Date
Aug 9, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2024, 2:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marileidy Paulino (DOM) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kendall Ellis (USA) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if any athlete other than Marileidy Paulino, Nickisha Pryce, Natalia Kaczmarek, Rhasidat Adeleke, Salwa Eid Naser, or Kendall Ellis wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marileidy Paulino (DOM) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nickisha Pryce (JAM) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Natalia Kaczmarek (POL) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rhasidat Adeleke (IRL) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Salwa Eid Naser (BRN) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marileidy Paulino (DOM) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA.
If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).
Volume
$26,652
End Date
Aug 9, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2024, 2:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marileidy Paulino (DOM) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"400m Winner (W)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marileidy Paulino (DOM)" at 100%, followed by "Kendall Ellis (USA)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "400m Winner (W)" has generated $26.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 8, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "400m Winner (W)," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "400m Winner (W)" is "Marileidy Paulino (DOM)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kendall Ellis (USA)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "400m Winner (W)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.