Skip to main content
icon for 400m Winner (M)
Sports·2026 Winter Games

400m Winner (M)

icon for 400m Winner (M)
Sports·2026 Winter Games

400m Winner (M)

Quincy Hall (USA) 99.5%

Other 40%

Jereem Richards (TTO) 1.0%

Christopher Bailey (USA) 1.0%

Polymarket

$32,422 Vol.

Quincy Hall (USA) 99.5%

Other 40%

Jereem Richards (TTO) 1.0%

Christopher Bailey (USA) 1.0%

Polymarket

$32,422 Vol.

Quincy Hall (USA)

$13,714 Vol.

Yes

Matthew Hudson-Smith (GBR)

$9,574 Vol.

No

Michael Norman (USA)

$2,701 Vol.

No

Charles Dobson (GBR)

$1,000 Vol.

No

Alexander Doom (BEL)

$490 Vol.

No

Kirani James (GRN)

$1,034 Vol.

No

Jereem Richards (TTO)

$2,040 Vol.

No

Other

$2 Vol.

No

Christopher Bailey (USA)

$700 Vol.

No

Muzala Samukonga (ZAM)

$1,167 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Quincy Hall (USA) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Matthew Hudson-Smith (GBR) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Norman (USA) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Charles Dobson (GBR) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexander Doom (BEL) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kirani James (GRN) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jereem Richards (TTO) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if an athlete other than Quincy Hall, Matthew Hudson-Smith, Michael Norman, Charles Dobson, Kirani James, Alexander Doom, Jereem Richards, Christopher Bailey or Muzala Samukonga wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Bailey (USA) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Muzala Samukonga (ZAM) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Quincy Hall (USA) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).
Volume
$32,422
End Date
Aug 7, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2024, 10:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Quincy Hall (USA) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Quincy Hall (USA) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Matthew Hudson-Smith (GBR) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Norman (USA) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Charles Dobson (GBR) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexander Doom (BEL) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kirani James (GRN) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jereem Richards (TTO) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if an athlete other than Quincy Hall, Matthew Hudson-Smith, Michael Norman, Charles Dobson, Kirani James, Alexander Doom, Jereem Richards, Christopher Bailey or Muzala Samukonga wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Bailey (USA) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Muzala Samukonga (ZAM) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Quincy Hall (USA) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).
Volume
$32,422
End Date
Aug 7, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2024, 10:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Quincy Hall (USA) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s 400m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Related

icon for New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

52%
icon for Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

31%
icon for Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

38%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"400m Winner (M)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Quincy Hall (USA)" at 100%, followed by "Matthew Hudson-Smith (GBR)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "400m Winner (M)" has generated $32.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 7, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "400m Winner (M)," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "400m Winner (M)" is "Quincy Hall (USA)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Matthew Hudson-Smith (GBR)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "400m Winner (M)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.