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CBA: Winner

Market icon

CBA: Winner

Sichuan Blue Whales 96%

Guangdong Southern Tigers 50%

Beijing Ducks 50%

Fujian 50%

Polymarket
NEW

Sichuan Blue Whales 96%

Guangdong Southern Tigers 50%

Beijing Ducks 50%

Fujian 50%

Polymarket
NEW

Sichuan Blue Whales

$35 Vol.

96%

Guangdong Southern Tigers

$0 Vol.

50%

Beijing Ducks

$0 Vol.

50%

Fujian

$0 Vol.

50%

Jiangsu Dragons

$0 Vol.

50%

Jilin Northeast Tigers

$0 Vol.

50%

Liaoning Flying Leopards

$0 Vol.

50%

Ningbo Rockets

$0 Vol.

50%

Qingdao Eagles

$0 Vol.

50%

Shanghai Dongfang

$0 Vol.

50%

Shanxi Zhongyu

$0 Vol.

50%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers

$0 Vol.

50%

Zhejiang Chouzhou Golden Bulls

$0 Vol.

50%

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions

$0 Vol.

50%

Beijing Royal Fighters

$0 Vol.

49%

Guangzhou Loong Lions

$0 Vol.

49%

Nanjing Tongxi Monkey King

$0 Vol.

49%

Shandong Kylins

$0 Vol.

49%

Shenzhen Leopards

$0 Vol.

49%

Tianjin Pioneers

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shanghai Sharks lead CBA regular season standings at 29-4, fueled by a 14-game win streak and elite defense holding opponents to 82 points per game, yet Zhejiang Guangsha Lions lurk one game back with a seven-game streak of their own. Guangdong Southern Tigers solidified third place with a narrow April 1 victory over Jiangsu Dragons, while Beijing Ducks' 96-93 upset of Guangdong on March 27 exposed top teams' vulnerabilities. Heading into playoffs under the new 3-5-5-7 format, trader consensus prices all contenders near 50% implied probability, capturing the league's depth, frequent postseason upsets, and parity among playoff-qualified squads with home-court edges and proven finals experience keeping the championship race intensely competitive.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$35
End Date
Dec 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shanghai Sharks lead CBA regular season standings at 29-4, fueled by a 14-game win streak and elite defense holding opponents to 82 points per game, yet Zhejiang Guangsha Lions lurk one game back with a seven-game streak of their own. Guangdong Southern Tigers solidified third place with a narrow April 1 victory over Jiangsu Dragons, while Beijing Ducks' 96-93 upset of Guangdong on March 27 exposed top teams' vulnerabilities. Heading into playoffs under the new 3-5-5-7 format, trader consensus prices all contenders near 50% implied probability, capturing the league's depth, frequent postseason upsets, and parity among playoff-qualified squads with home-court edges and proven finals experience keeping the championship race intensely competitive.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$35
End Date
Dec 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CBA: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Guangdong Southern Tigers" at 50%, followed by "Beijing Ducks" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CBA: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CBA: Winner," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CBA: Winner" is "Guangdong Southern Tigers" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Beijing Ducks" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CBA: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.