Trader consensus gives The Weeknd a slim edge at 7.4% implied probability for #2 Spotify artist in April, driven by his catalog's relentless streaming power—Blinding Lights recently hit new all-time highs—positioning him as the steadiest contender behind Bruno Mars' dominant #1 run. Bruno's 3.1% tail risk stems from his explosive month via The Romantic album, "I Just Might" debut, and smashes like "APT." with ROSÉ and "Die With A Smile" with Lady Gaga, which spiked his monthly listeners to 136 million by late April. Bad Bunny (1.4%) clings to early-month leads, while Billie Eilish, Kendrick Lamar, and others lurk amid tight competition; final April 30 streams and playlist algorithms will decide amid high uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated#2 Spotify artist in April?
#2 Spotify artist in April?
The Weeknd 6.1%
Bruno Mars 3.1%
Bad Bunny 2.9%
Taylor Swift <1%
$89,957 Vol.
$89,957 Vol.
The Weeknd
6%
Bruno Mars
3%
Bad Bunny
3%
Taylor Swift
<1%
Drake
<1%
Lady Gaga
<1%
Kanye West
<1%
Rihanna
<1%
Ed Sheeran
<1%
Coldplay
<1%
Billie Eilish
<1%
Noah Kahan
<1%
Kendrick Lamar
<1%
The Weeknd 6.1%
Bruno Mars 3.1%
Bad Bunny 2.9%
Taylor Swift <1%
$89,957 Vol.
$89,957 Vol.
The Weeknd
6%
Bruno Mars
3%
Bad Bunny
3%
Taylor Swift
<1%
Drake
<1%
Lady Gaga
<1%
Kanye West
<1%
Rihanna
<1%
Ed Sheeran
<1%
Coldplay
<1%
Billie Eilish
<1%
Noah Kahan
<1%
Kendrick Lamar
<1%
The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.
In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.
The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.
In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.
The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus gives The Weeknd a slim edge at 7.4% implied probability for #2 Spotify artist in April, driven by his catalog's relentless streaming power—Blinding Lights recently hit new all-time highs—positioning him as the steadiest contender behind Bruno Mars' dominant #1 run. Bruno's 3.1% tail risk stems from his explosive month via The Romantic album, "I Just Might" debut, and smashes like "APT." with ROSÉ and "Die With A Smile" with Lady Gaga, which spiked his monthly listeners to 136 million by late April. Bad Bunny (1.4%) clings to early-month leads, while Billie Eilish, Kendrick Lamar, and others lurk amid tight competition; final April 30 streams and playlist algorithms will decide amid high uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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