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Sports·Today's Olympics

1500m Winner (W)

icon for 1500m Winner (W)
Sports·Today's Olympics

1500m Winner (W)

Faith Kipyegon (KEN) 99.8%

Jessica Hull (AUS) <1%

Diribe Welteji (ETH) <1%

Birke Haylom (ETH) <1%

Polymarket

$32,308 Vol.

Faith Kipyegon (KEN) 99.8%

Jessica Hull (AUS) <1%

Diribe Welteji (ETH) <1%

Birke Haylom (ETH) <1%

Polymarket

$32,308 Vol.

Faith Kipyegon (KEN)

$16,830 Vol.

Yes

Nikki Hiltz (USA)

$2,059 Vol.

No

Gudaf Tsegay (ETH)

$3,474 Vol.

No

Jessica Hull (AUS)

$457 Vol.

No

Diribe Welteji (ETH)

$949 Vol.

No

Birke Haylom (ETH)

$7,338 Vol.

No

Other

$1,200 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Faith Kipyegon (KEN) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Hiltz (USA) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gudaf Tsegay (ETH) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jessica Hull (AUS) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Diribe Welteji (ETH) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Birke Haylom (ETH) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any athlete other than Faith Kipyegon, Nikki Hiltz, Gudaf Tsegay, Jessica Hull, Diribe Welteji, or Birke Haylom wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Faith Kipyegon (KEN) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.”
In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).
Volume
$32,308
End Date
Aug 10, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2024, 2:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Faith Kipyegon (KEN) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Faith Kipyegon (KEN) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Hiltz (USA) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gudaf Tsegay (ETH) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jessica Hull (AUS) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Diribe Welteji (ETH) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Birke Haylom (ETH) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any athlete other than Faith Kipyegon, Nikki Hiltz, Gudaf Tsegay, Jessica Hull, Diribe Welteji, or Birke Haylom wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Faith Kipyegon (KEN) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.”
In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).
Volume
$32,308
End Date
Aug 10, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2024, 2:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Faith Kipyegon (KEN) wins a Gold medal in Women’s 1500m at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"1500m Winner (W)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Faith Kipyegon (KEN)" at 100%, followed by "Nikki Hiltz (USA)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "1500m Winner (W)" has generated $32.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 8, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "1500m Winner (W)," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "1500m Winner (W)" is "Faith Kipyegon (KEN)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nikki Hiltz (USA)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "1500m Winner (W)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.