Gold futures (GC) have surged to multi-decade highs above $2,650 per ounce amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, persistent central bank buying—led by China and India—and trader bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts as inflation cools. Real yields on 10-year Treasuries remain near multi-year lows around 4%, bolstering gold's appeal as a non-yielding hedge against dollar weakness (DXY index down 2% in the past month). Recent U.S. CPI data showed core inflation easing to 3.2% annualized, fueling 75 basis point cut expectations by March 2025 per Fed funds futures. Key catalysts ahead include the November 6–7 FOMC meeting, December jobs report, and Q1 2025 economic releases, which could sway rate path and safe-haven flows before the March 31 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Llegará el oro (GC) a __ a finales de marzo?
¿Llegará el oro (GC) a __ a finales de marzo?
$2,937,376 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↓ $4,300
12%
↓ $4,000
4%
↓ $3,600
1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
$2,937,376 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$321,460 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,000
$361,082 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,600
$105,268 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,400
$80,475 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,200
$88,940 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,000
$42,571 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,800
$76,809 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,600
$68,896 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,500
$64,503 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,400
$177,553 Vol.
1%
↓ $4,300
$189,733 Vol.
12%
↓ $4,000
$226,887 Vol.
4%
↓ $3,600
$208,036 Vol.
1%
↓ $3,000
$285,921 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have surged to multi-decade highs above $2,650 per ounce amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, persistent central bank buying—led by China and India—and trader bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts as inflation cools. Real yields on 10-year Treasuries remain near multi-year lows around 4%, bolstering gold's appeal as a non-yielding hedge against dollar weakness (DXY index down 2% in the past month). Recent U.S. CPI data showed core inflation easing to 3.2% annualized, fueling 75 basis point cut expectations by March 2025 per Fed funds futures. Key catalysts ahead include the November 6–7 FOMC meeting, December jobs report, and Q1 2025 economic releases, which could sway rate path and safe-haven flows before the March 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$2,937,376Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have surged to multi-decade highs above $2,650 per ounce amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, persistent central bank buying—led by China and India—and trader bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts as inflation cools. Real yields on 10-year Treasuries remain near multi-year lows around 4%, bolstering gold's appeal as a non-yielding hedge against dollar weakness (DXY index down 2% in the past month). Recent U.S. CPI data showed core inflation easing to 3.2% annualized, fueling 75 basis point cut expectations by March 2025 per Fed funds futures. Key catalysts ahead include the November 6–7 FOMC meeting, December jobs report, and Q1 2025 economic releases, which could sway rate path and safe-haven flows before the March 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$2,937,376Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have surged to multi-decade highs above $2,650 per ounce amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, persistent central bank buying—led by China and India—and trader bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts as inflation cools. Real yields on 10-year Treasuries remain near multi-year lows around 4%, bolstering gold's appeal as a non-yielding hedge against dollar weakness (DXY index down 2% in the past month). Recent U.S. CPI data showed core inflation easing to 3.2% annualized, fueling 75 basis point cut expectations by March 2025 per Fed funds futures. Key catalysts ahead include the November 6–7 FOMC meeting, December jobs report, and Q1 2025 economic releases, which could sway rate path and safe-haven flows before the March 31 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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