Gold futures (GC) rallied 2.59% to a March 27 settlement of $4,489.70, reclaiming $4,500 amid escalated US-Iran tensions spurring safe-haven demand and a softer US dollar, which fell against major currencies. This upleg reflects trader consensus pricing in geopolitical risk premiums, countering earlier pressures from firming Treasury yields and hawkish Fed rhetoric on persistent inflation. Spot gold mirrored the move, trading near $4,493 per ounce. With only March 28 and 31 trading days left before end-of-month resolution, key catalysts include today's PCE inflation data—forecast at 0.3% core monthly—and quarter-end rebalancing flows, which could amplify volatility around pivotal levels like $4,500 support and $4,600 resistance. Prediction market odds capture this tight window's uncertainty, balancing macro tailwinds against technical exhaustion risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Llegará el oro (GC) a __ a finales de marzo?
¿Llegará el oro (GC) a __ a finales de marzo?
$3,024,789 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↓ $4,300
4%
↓ $4,000
2%
↓ $3,600
<1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
$3,024,789 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$322,547 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,000
$361,178 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,600
$106,212 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,400
$80,488 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,200
$98,763 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,000
$42,651 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,800
$77,025 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,600
$71,247 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,500
$64,986 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,400
$180,939 Vol.
1%
↓ $4,300
$197,444 Vol.
4%
↓ $4,000
$230,094 Vol.
2%
↓ $3,600
$221,379 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3,000
$330,480 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) rallied 2.59% to a March 27 settlement of $4,489.70, reclaiming $4,500 amid escalated US-Iran tensions spurring safe-haven demand and a softer US dollar, which fell against major currencies. This upleg reflects trader consensus pricing in geopolitical risk premiums, countering earlier pressures from firming Treasury yields and hawkish Fed rhetoric on persistent inflation. Spot gold mirrored the move, trading near $4,493 per ounce. With only March 28 and 31 trading days left before end-of-month resolution, key catalysts include today's PCE inflation data—forecast at 0.3% core monthly—and quarter-end rebalancing flows, which could amplify volatility around pivotal levels like $4,500 support and $4,600 resistance. Prediction market odds capture this tight window's uncertainty, balancing macro tailwinds against technical exhaustion risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$3,024,789Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) rallied 2.59% to a March 27 settlement of $4,489.70, reclaiming $4,500 amid escalated US-Iran tensions spurring safe-haven demand and a softer US dollar, which fell against major currencies. This upleg reflects trader consensus pricing in geopolitical risk premiums, countering earlier pressures from firming Treasury yields and hawkish Fed rhetoric on persistent inflation. Spot gold mirrored the move, trading near $4,493 per ounce. With only March 28 and 31 trading days left before end-of-month resolution, key catalysts include today's PCE inflation data—forecast at 0.3% core monthly—and quarter-end rebalancing flows, which could amplify volatility around pivotal levels like $4,500 support and $4,600 resistance. Prediction market odds capture this tight window's uncertainty, balancing macro tailwinds against technical exhaustion risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$3,024,789Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) rallied 2.59% to a March 27 settlement of $4,489.70, reclaiming $4,500 amid escalated US-Iran tensions spurring safe-haven demand and a softer US dollar, which fell against major currencies. This upleg reflects trader consensus pricing in geopolitical risk premiums, countering earlier pressures from firming Treasury yields and hawkish Fed rhetoric on persistent inflation. Spot gold mirrored the move, trading near $4,493 per ounce. With only March 28 and 31 trading days left before end-of-month resolution, key catalysts include today's PCE inflation data—forecast at 0.3% core monthly—and quarter-end rebalancing flows, which could amplify volatility around pivotal levels like $4,500 support and $4,600 resistance. Prediction market odds capture this tight window's uncertainty, balancing macro tailwinds against technical exhaustion risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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