Título del grupo: Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
Alibaba <1%
xAI <1%
$36,331,301 Vol.
$36,331,301 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025

Título del grupo: Google
Sí

OpenAI
No

Alibaba
No

xAI
No

Anthropic
No

Meta
No

Mistral AI
No

DeepSeek
No

Microsoft
No

Z.ai
No

Título del ítem del grupo: Tencent
No

Título del ítem del grupo: Moonshot
No
Título del grupo: Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
Alibaba <1%
xAI <1%
$36,331,301 Vol.
$36,331,301 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025

Título del grupo: Google
$4,201,493 Vol.
Sí

OpenAI
$2,799,960 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$2,355,571 Vol.
No

xAI
$2,476,743 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$2,632,067 Vol.
No

Meta
$1,794,863 Vol.
No

Mistral AI
$1,640,870 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$2,069,280 Vol.
No

Microsoft
$8,697,440 Vol.
No

Z.ai
$1,870,945 Vol.
No

Título del ítem del grupo: Tencent
$4,063,680 Vol.
No

Título del ítem del grupo: Moonshot
$1,728,389 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company D has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company D with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company D has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company D with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company D with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Dec 31, 2024, 3:23 PM ET
Volumen
$36,331,301Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
Dec 31, 2024, 3:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Frequently Asked Questions