Trader sentiment for artists achieving a Billboard Hot 100 #1 in 2024 hinges on country crossover breakthroughs, with Shaboozey's "A Bar Song (Tipsy)" logging eight straight weeks at #1 through late August, underscoring streaming and TikTok virality's power alongside radio play. Confirmed #1 holders include Ariana Grande, Beyoncé, Taylor Swift, Teddy Swims, Post Malone, Sabrina Carpenter, and Eminem, per official charts, leaving room for surprises among climbers like Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars' "Die With A Smile" (recently #2) and Chappell Roan's persistent "Good Luck, Babe!" Implied probabilities reflect caution on rap heavyweights like Kendrick Lamar, whose "Not Like Us" peaked at #1 briefly, amid weekly chart volatility and fall album drops from Billie Eilish and Olivia Rodrigo kin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué artistas tendrán una canción número1 de Billboard este año?
¿Qué artistas tendrán una canción número1 de Billboard este año?
$36,398 Vol.
Olivia Rodrigo
88%
Mariah Carey
89%
Drake
76%
SZA
51%
Post Malone
49%
Sabrina Carpenter
45%
Ariana Grande
44%
Playboi Carti
42%
Luke Combs
33%
Future
23%
Travis Scott
28%
Kanye West
33%
Rihanna
21%
Zach Bryan
24%
The Weeknd
20%
Doja Cat
13%
Lil Baby
11%
Jack Harlow
23%
A$AP Rocky
24%
Ed Sheeran
9%
Kendrick Lamar
14%
Frank Ocean
11%
Tyler, The Creator
43%
Billie Eilish
40%
Morgan Wallen
52%
Peso Pluma
49%
$36,398 Vol.
Olivia Rodrigo
88%
Mariah Carey
89%
Drake
76%
SZA
51%
Post Malone
49%
Sabrina Carpenter
45%
Ariana Grande
44%
Playboi Carti
42%
Luke Combs
33%
Future
23%
Travis Scott
28%
Kanye West
33%
Rihanna
21%
Zach Bryan
24%
The Weeknd
20%
Doja Cat
13%
Lil Baby
11%
Jack Harlow
23%
A$AP Rocky
24%
Ed Sheeran
9%
Kendrick Lamar
14%
Frank Ocean
11%
Tyler, The Creator
43%
Billie Eilish
40%
Morgan Wallen
52%
Peso Pluma
49%
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Mercado abierto: Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for artists achieving a Billboard Hot 100 #1 in 2024 hinges on country crossover breakthroughs, with Shaboozey's "A Bar Song (Tipsy)" logging eight straight weeks at #1 through late August, underscoring streaming and TikTok virality's power alongside radio play. Confirmed #1 holders include Ariana Grande, Beyoncé, Taylor Swift, Teddy Swims, Post Malone, Sabrina Carpenter, and Eminem, per official charts, leaving room for surprises among climbers like Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars' "Die With A Smile" (recently #2) and Chappell Roan's persistent "Good Luck, Babe!" Implied probabilities reflect caution on rap heavyweights like Kendrick Lamar, whose "Not Like Us" peaked at #1 briefly, amid weekly chart volatility and fall album drops from Billie Eilish and Olivia Rodrigo kin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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