Trader consensus heavily favors Kanye West's 'BULLY' first-week sales under 300k units (83.5% implied probability), driven by his diminished mainstream appeal following antisemitic controversies, severed Adidas and Gap deals, and independent release lacking major label muscle. Early Hits Daily Double tracking pegs pure sales below 100k with modest streaming equivalents, hampered by minimal radio airplay and playlist snubs amid boycott calls. Historical precedent like 'Vultures 1's 148k debut underscores the slide from Yeezus-era peaks, though fan bundles offer slim upside to 300k-400k (8%). Final Luminate data will resolve, but polarized sentiment caps higher bins as longshots.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoKanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
<300k 84%
300k-400k 7%
800k-900k 3.6%
700k-800k 2.9%
<300k
84%
300k-400k
7%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
1%
600k-700k
2%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
4%
900k+
1%
<300k 84%
300k-400k 7%
800k-900k 3.6%
700k-800k 2.9%
<300k
84%
300k-400k
7%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
1%
600k-700k
2%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
4%
900k+
1%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Kanye West's 'BULLY' first-week sales under 300k units (83.5% implied probability), driven by his diminished mainstream appeal following antisemitic controversies, severed Adidas and Gap deals, and independent release lacking major label muscle. Early Hits Daily Double tracking pegs pure sales below 100k with modest streaming equivalents, hampered by minimal radio airplay and playlist snubs amid boycott calls. Historical precedent like 'Vultures 1's 148k debut underscores the slide from Yeezus-era peaks, though fan bundles offer slim upside to 300k-400k (8%). Final Luminate data will resolve, but polarized sentiment caps higher bins as longshots.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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