Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly Iran-linked strikes on oil tankers and Houthi threats to supplies, have driven the S&P 500 to multi-month lows, closing at 6,368.85 on March 27—down 1.67% amid surging Brent crude prices nearing records and Treasury yields climbing. Sticky inflation persists, with February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and PCE deflator at 2.8%, tempering market-implied odds of near-term Fed rate cuts following the FOMC's March 18 projections showing modest easing. Volatility has spiked to 19-20%, reflecting trader consensus pricing in geopolitical risks over AI-driven gains earlier in 2026. Watch March 31 quarter-end rebalancing and oil developments for final close impacts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?
¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?
$876,334 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ $7,500
<1%
↑ $7,300
<1%
↑ $7,200
<1%
↑ $7,100
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,900
1%
↓ $6,300
47%
↓ $6,200
20%
↓ $6,000
4%
↓ $5,000
<1%
$876,334 Vol.
↑ $8,000
$110,958 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,500
$43,393 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,300
$78,588 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,200
$6,563 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,100
$48,893 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,000
$27,135 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,900
$66,454 Vol.
1%
↓ $6,300
$151,780 Vol.
47%
↓ $6,200
$40,052 Vol.
20%
↓ $6,000
$56,821 Vol.
4%
↓ $5,000
$172,367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly Iran-linked strikes on oil tankers and Houthi threats to supplies, have driven the S&P 500 to multi-month lows, closing at 6,368.85 on March 27—down 1.67% amid surging Brent crude prices nearing records and Treasury yields climbing. Sticky inflation persists, with February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and PCE deflator at 2.8%, tempering market-implied odds of near-term Fed rate cuts following the FOMC's March 18 projections showing modest easing. Volatility has spiked to 19-20%, reflecting trader consensus pricing in geopolitical risks over AI-driven gains earlier in 2026. Watch March 31 quarter-end rebalancing and oil developments for final close impacts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Volumen
$876,334Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly Iran-linked strikes on oil tankers and Houthi threats to supplies, have driven the S&P 500 to multi-month lows, closing at 6,368.85 on March 27—down 1.67% amid surging Brent crude prices nearing records and Treasury yields climbing. Sticky inflation persists, with February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and PCE deflator at 2.8%, tempering market-implied odds of near-term Fed rate cuts following the FOMC's March 18 projections showing modest easing. Volatility has spiked to 19-20%, reflecting trader consensus pricing in geopolitical risks over AI-driven gains earlier in 2026. Watch March 31 quarter-end rebalancing and oil developments for final close impacts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$876,334Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly Iran-linked strikes on oil tankers and Houthi threats to supplies, have driven the S&P 500 to multi-month lows, closing at 6,368.85 on March 27—down 1.67% amid surging Brent crude prices nearing records and Treasury yields climbing. Sticky inflation persists, with February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and PCE deflator at 2.8%, tempering market-implied odds of near-term Fed rate cuts following the FOMC's March 18 projections showing modest easing. Volatility has spiked to 19-20%, reflecting trader consensus pricing in geopolitical risks over AI-driven gains earlier in 2026. Watch March 31 quarter-end rebalancing and oil developments for final close impacts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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