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Finanzas·Recompensas Financieras 300

¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?

Market icon
Finanzas·Recompensas Financieras 300

¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

$705,301 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$705,301 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $8,000

$0 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,500

$38,657 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,300

$77,456 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,200

$5,037 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,100

$44,091 Vol.

1%

↑ $7,000

$25,523 Vol.

1%

↑ $6,900

$64,634 Vol.

1%

↓ $6,300

$128,690 Vol.

44%

↓ $6,200

$35,851 Vol.

33%

↓ $6,000

$51,970 Vol.

5%

↓ $5,000

$160,122 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Trader sentiment on the S&P 500's end-of-March 2026 level reflects a sharp pullback, with the index closing March 27 at 6,368.85—down 1.67% and marking its longest losing streak since 2022 amid surging oil prices driven by escalating geopolitical tensions linked to Iran and Trump administration deadlines. This extends a volatile week featuring a $3 trillion intraday market cap swing on March 23, pressuring risk assets as crude benchmarks climbed above $90 per barrel. With markets closed over the March 28-29 weekend, the March 31 close will resolve the outcome, influenced by quarter-end rebalancing flows and positioning ahead of April's nonfarm payrolls and FOMC projections. VIX spiked near 20, signaling heightened uncertainty, while 10-year Treasury yields held above 4.2%, tempering equity upside. Polymarket traders price in downside bias given recent momentum, though soft-landing hopes persist.

Trader sentiment on the S&P 500's end-of-March 2026 level reflects a sharp pullback, with the index closing March 27 at 6,368.85—down 1.67% and marking its longest losing streak since 2022 amid surging oil prices driven by escalating geopolitical tensions linked to Iran and Trump administration deadlines. This extends a volatile week featuring a $3 trillion intraday market cap swing on March 23, pressuring risk assets as crude benchmarks climbed above $90 per barrel. With markets closed over the March 28-29 weekend, the March 31 close will resolve the outcome, influenced by quarter-end rebalancing flows and positioning ahead of April's nonfarm payrolls and FOMC projections. VIX spiked near 20, signaling heightened uncertainty, while 10-year Treasury yields held above 4.2%, tempering equity upside. Polymarket traders price in downside bias given recent momentum, though soft-landing hopes persist.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Trader sentiment on the S&P 500's end-of-March 2026 level reflects a sharp pullback, with the index closing March 27 at 6,368.85—down 1.67% and marking its longest losing streak since 2022 amid surging oil prices driven by escalating geopolitical tensions linked to Iran and Trump administration deadlines. This extends a volatile week featuring a $3 trillion intraday market cap swing on March 23, pressuring risk assets as crude benchmarks climbed above $90 per barrel. With markets closed over the March 28-29 weekend, the March 31 close will resolve the outcome, influenced by quarter-end rebalancing flows and positioning ahead of April's nonfarm payrolls and FOMC projections. VIX spiked near 20, signaling heightened uncertainty, while 10-year Treasury yields held above 4.2%, tempering equity upside. Polymarket traders price in downside bias given recent momentum, though soft-landing hopes persist.

Trader sentiment on the S&P 500's end-of-March 2026 level reflects a sharp pullback, with the index closing March 27 at 6,368.85—down 1.67% and marking its longest losing streak since 2022 amid surging oil prices driven by escalating geopolitical tensions linked to Iran and Trump administration deadlines. This extends a volatile week featuring a $3 trillion intraday market cap swing on March 23, pressuring risk assets as crude benchmarks climbed above $90 per barrel. With markets closed over the March 28-29 weekend, the March 31 close will resolve the outcome, influenced by quarter-end rebalancing flows and positioning ahead of April's nonfarm payrolls and FOMC projections. VIX spiked near 20, signaling heightened uncertainty, while 10-year Treasury yields held above 4.2%, tempering equity upside. Polymarket traders price in downside bias given recent momentum, though soft-landing hopes persist.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "↑ $6,800" con 100%, seguido de "↓ $6,600" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?" ha generado $705.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?" es "↑ $6,800" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "↓ $6,600" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.