Polymarket traders price a 57% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing above $6,800 by end-March 2026, reflecting bets on a sharp rebound despite the index's 1.7% plunge to 6,368.85 on March 27 amid escalating Iran conflict tensions that drove oil above $100 per barrel and triggered the longest losing streak since 2022. The Magnificent Seven shed $300 billion last week, amplifying stagflation fears, yet quarter-end rebalancing and megacap resilience underpin optimism for recovery in the final trading days through March 31. Upcoming nonfarm payrolls and April FOMC meeting loom large, with labor data pivotal to Fed funds rate cut pricing currently at three for 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?
¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?
$631,535 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ $7,500
<1%
↑ $7,300
<1%
↑ $7,200
<1%
↑ $7,100
1%
↑ $7,000
1%
↑ $6,900
1%
↓ $6,300
62%
↓ $6,200
31%
↓ $6,000
6%
↓ $5,000
<1%
$631,535 Vol.
↑ $8,000
$0 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,500
$36,978 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,300
$77,434 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,200
$5,032 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,100
$40,217 Vol.
1%
↑ $7,000
$25,519 Vol.
1%
↑ $6,900
$16,590 Vol.
1%
↓ $6,300
$111,156 Vol.
62%
↓ $6,200
$35,812 Vol.
31%
↓ $6,000
$51,495 Vol.
6%
↓ $5,000
$157,973 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Polymarket traders price a 57% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing above $6,800 by end-March 2026, reflecting bets on a sharp rebound despite the index's 1.7% plunge to 6,368.85 on March 27 amid escalating Iran conflict tensions that drove oil above $100 per barrel and triggered the longest losing streak since 2022. The Magnificent Seven shed $300 billion last week, amplifying stagflation fears, yet quarter-end rebalancing and megacap resilience underpin optimism for recovery in the final trading days through March 31. Upcoming nonfarm payrolls and April FOMC meeting loom large, with labor data pivotal to Fed funds rate cut pricing currently at three for 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Volumen
$631,535Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Polymarket traders price a 57% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing above $6,800 by end-March 2026, reflecting bets on a sharp rebound despite the index's 1.7% plunge to 6,368.85 on March 27 amid escalating Iran conflict tensions that drove oil above $100 per barrel and triggered the longest losing streak since 2022. The Magnificent Seven shed $300 billion last week, amplifying stagflation fears, yet quarter-end rebalancing and megacap resilience underpin optimism for recovery in the final trading days through March 31. Upcoming nonfarm payrolls and April FOMC meeting loom large, with labor data pivotal to Fed funds rate cut pricing currently at three for 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$631,535Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 57% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing above $6,800 by end-March 2026, reflecting bets on a sharp rebound despite the index's 1.7% plunge to 6,368.85 on March 27 amid escalating Iran conflict tensions that drove oil above $100 per barrel and triggered the longest losing streak since 2022. The Magnificent Seven shed $300 billion last week, amplifying stagflation fears, yet quarter-end rebalancing and megacap resilience underpin optimism for recovery in the final trading days through March 31. Upcoming nonfarm payrolls and April FOMC meeting loom large, with labor data pivotal to Fed funds rate cut pricing currently at three for 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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