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Finanzas·Recompensas Financieras 300

¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?

Market icon
Finanzas·Recompensas Financieras 300

¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

$570,947 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$570,947 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $8,000

$0 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,500

$35,046 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,300

$72,736 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,200

$3,227 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,100

$15,903 Vol.

1%

↑ $7,000

$23,587 Vol.

1%

↑ $6,900

$15,031 Vol.

1%

↓ $6,400

$61,545 Vol.

100%

↓ $6,300

$108,072 Vol.

54%

↓ $6,200

$34,952 Vol.

26%

↓ $6,000

$43,615 Vol.

5%

↓ $5,000

$157,385 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged past 5,900, propelled by blockbuster Q4 earnings from tech giants like Nvidia and Microsoft, which beat revenue estimates by double digits and reinforced AI-driven growth narratives. Softer-than-expected February CPI at 2.8% year-over-year bolstered Federal Reserve rate cut odds, with fed funds futures implying a 70 basis points easing by mid-2025 amid 10-year Treasury yields dipping to 4.18%. Robust nonfarm payrolls added 151,000 jobs, signaling labor market resilience that tempers aggressive policy bets. Traders eye the March 18-19 FOMC meeting and March 12 CPI release as pivotal, potentially deciding if SPX breaches 6,000 by quarter-end amid VIX readings near 16.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$570,947
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged past 5,900, propelled by blockbuster Q4 earnings from tech giants like Nvidia and Microsoft, which beat revenue estimates by double digits and reinforced AI-driven growth narratives. Softer-than-expected February CPI at 2.8% year-over-year bolstered Federal Reserve rate cut odds, with fed funds futures implying a 70 basis points easing by mid-2025 amid 10-year Treasury yields dipping to 4.18%. Robust nonfarm payrolls added 151,000 jobs, signaling labor market resilience that tempers aggressive policy bets. Traders eye the March 18-19 FOMC meeting and March 12 CPI release as pivotal, potentially deciding if SPX breaches 6,000 by quarter-end amid VIX readings near 16.

The S&P 500 has surged past 5,900, propelled by blockbuster Q4 earnings from tech giants like Nvidia and Microsoft, which beat revenue estimates by double digits and reinforced AI-driven growth narratives. Softer-than-expected February CPI at 2.8% year-over-year bolstered Federal Reserve rate cut odds, with fed funds futures implying a 70 basis points easing by mid-2025 amid 10-year Treasury yields dipping to 4.18%. Robust nonfarm payrolls added 151,000 jobs, signaling labor market resilience that tempers aggressive policy bets. Traders eye the March 18-19 FOMC meeting and March 12 CPI release as pivotal, potentially deciding if SPX breaches 6,000 by quarter-end amid VIX readings near 16.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "↓ $6,400" con 100%, seguido de "↑ $6,800" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?" ha generado $570.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?" es "↓ $6,400" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "↑ $6,800" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.