Trader sentiment on Polymarket for S&P 500 end-of-March levels reflects a risk-off shift driven by escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, which has propelled oil prices higher and fueled recession fears. The index closed March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.67% that day and over 4% month-to-date, marking a six-month low after four straight weekly losses amid sector rotation away from equities. Post March 17-18 FOMC holding rates steady amid cooling February CPI at 2.4% y/y, quarter-end rebalancing and window dressing loom large through March 31, with early Q1 earnings previews and potential geopolitical flares as key near-term catalysts influencing final positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?
¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?
$713,788 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ $7,500
<1%
↑ $7,300
<1%
↑ $7,200
<1%
↑ $7,100
1%
↑ $7,000
1%
↑ $6,900
1%
↓ $6,300
46%
↓ $6,200
32%
↓ $6,000
4%
↓ $5,000
<1%
$713,788 Vol.
↑ $8,000
$0 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,500
$40,921 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,300
$77,994 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,200
$5,237 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,100
$44,116 Vol.
1%
↑ $7,000
$25,543 Vol.
1%
↑ $6,900
$65,447 Vol.
1%
↓ $6,300
$131,662 Vol.
46%
↓ $6,200
$37,059 Vol.
32%
↓ $6,000
$51,984 Vol.
4%
↓ $5,000
$161,238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Trader sentiment on Polymarket for S&P 500 end-of-March levels reflects a risk-off shift driven by escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, which has propelled oil prices higher and fueled recession fears. The index closed March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.67% that day and over 4% month-to-date, marking a six-month low after four straight weekly losses amid sector rotation away from equities. Post March 17-18 FOMC holding rates steady amid cooling February CPI at 2.4% y/y, quarter-end rebalancing and window dressing loom large through March 31, with early Q1 earnings previews and potential geopolitical flares as key near-term catalysts influencing final positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Volumen
$713,788Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Trader sentiment on Polymarket for S&P 500 end-of-March levels reflects a risk-off shift driven by escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, which has propelled oil prices higher and fueled recession fears. The index closed March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.67% that day and over 4% month-to-date, marking a six-month low after four straight weekly losses amid sector rotation away from equities. Post March 17-18 FOMC holding rates steady amid cooling February CPI at 2.4% y/y, quarter-end rebalancing and window dressing loom large through March 31, with early Q1 earnings previews and potential geopolitical flares as key near-term catalysts influencing final positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$713,788Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for S&P 500 end-of-March levels reflects a risk-off shift driven by escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, which has propelled oil prices higher and fueled recession fears. The index closed March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.67% that day and over 4% month-to-date, marking a six-month low after four straight weekly losses amid sector rotation away from equities. Post March 17-18 FOMC holding rates steady amid cooling February CPI at 2.4% y/y, quarter-end rebalancing and window dressing loom large through March 31, with early Q1 earnings previews and potential geopolitical flares as key near-term catalysts influencing final positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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