Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices the general U.S. tariff rate on Chinese imports at 5–15% as of March 31, 2026, at noon ET, reflecting the status quo after a pivotal Supreme Court ruling on February 20 invalidated higher tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). President Trump responded with a temporary 10% global tariff via Section 122 of the Trade Act, effective February 24 and running through July, which now serves as the base rate on China absent new reciprocal or product-specific escalations like lingering Section 301 duties on select goods. Recent executive actions, including tariff reprieves and exclusions extended to November, have stabilized rates around 10%, per analyses from Wharton and Tax Foundation. Late-breaking developments, such as formalizing a proposed 15% global hike or outcomes from the U.S.-China trade summit starting today, could challenge this, though none have materialized by deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$1,180,007 Vol.
$1,180,007 Vol.
31 mar 2026
<5%
<1%
5–15%
100%
15–25%
<1%
25–35%
<1%
35% o más
<1%
$1,180,007 Vol.
$1,180,007 Vol.
31 mar 2026
<5%
$90,823 Vol.
<1%
5–15%
$269,863 Vol.
100%
15–25%
$542,645 Vol.
<1%
25–35%
$151,657 Vol.
<1%
35% o más
$125,020 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 10% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 20% tariff).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).
Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but have not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices the general U.S. tariff rate on Chinese imports at 5–15% as of March 31, 2026, at noon ET, reflecting the status quo after a pivotal Supreme Court ruling on February 20 invalidated higher tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). President Trump responded with a temporary 10% global tariff via Section 122 of the Trade Act, effective February 24 and running through July, which now serves as the base rate on China absent new reciprocal or product-specific escalations like lingering Section 301 duties on select goods. Recent executive actions, including tariff reprieves and exclusions extended to November, have stabilized rates around 10%, per analyses from Wharton and Tax Foundation. Late-breaking developments, such as formalizing a proposed 15% global hike or outcomes from the U.S.-China trade summit starting today, could challenge this, though none have materialized by deadline.
This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 10% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 20% tariff).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).
Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but have not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 10% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 20% tariff).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).
Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but have not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 20, 2026, 8:07 PM ET
Volumen
$1,180,007Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 8:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 10% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 20% tariff).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).
Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but have not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices the general U.S. tariff rate on Chinese imports at 5–15% as of March 31, 2026, at noon ET, reflecting the status quo after a pivotal Supreme Court ruling on February 20 invalidated higher tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). President Trump responded with a temporary 10% global tariff via Section 122 of the Trade Act, effective February 24 and running through July, which now serves as the base rate on China absent new reciprocal or product-specific escalations like lingering Section 301 duties on select goods. Recent executive actions, including tariff reprieves and exclusions extended to November, have stabilized rates around 10%, per analyses from Wharton and Tax Foundation. Late-breaking developments, such as formalizing a proposed 15% global hike or outcomes from the U.S.-China trade summit starting today, could challenge this, though none have materialized by deadline.
This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 10% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 20% tariff).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).
Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but have not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 10% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 20% tariff).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).
Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but have not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volumen
$1,180,007Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 8:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices the general U.S. tariff rate on Chinese imports at 5–15% as of March 31, 2026, at noon ET, reflecting the status quo after a pivotal Supreme Court ruling on February 20 invalidated higher tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). President Trump responded with a temporary 10% global tariff via Section 122 of the Trade Act, effective February 24 and running through July, which now serves as the base rate on China absent new reciprocal or product-specific escalations like lingering Section 301 duties on select goods. Recent executive actions, including tariff reprieves and exclusions extended to November, have stabilized rates around 10%, per analyses from Wharton and Tax Foundation. Late-breaking developments, such as formalizing a proposed 15% global hike or outcomes from the U.S.-China trade summit starting today, could challenge this, though none have materialized by deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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