Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an $80-85 million domestic opening weekend for Project Hail Mary (71.5% implied probability), with $75-80 million close behind (27.5%), reflecting robust early tracking from Deadline Hollywood projecting 75-90 million based on Ryan Gosling's post-Barbie star power and Andy Weir's bestselling novel's built-in fanbase akin to The Martian's 54 million launch in 2015. Recent catalysts include the first trailer's viral release last week, amassing 50 million views and sparking enthusiastic X discussions on its Spider-Verse directors' visual flair and Gosling's charismatic Ryland Grace. Presales are outpacing similar sci-fi tentpoles, though awards season distractions and March competition could cap upside, underscoring traders' cautious optimism for this March 20, 2026, debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTaquilla del fin de semana de apertura del "Proyecto Ave María"
Taquilla del fin de semana de apertura del "Proyecto Ave María"
80-85 millones 73%
75-80 millones 27%
70-75 millones <1%
85-90 millones <1%
$844,156 Vol.
$844,156 Vol.
<50 millones
<1%
50-55 millones
<1%
55-60 millones
<1%
60-65 millones
<1%
65-70 millones
<1%
70-75 millones
<1%
75-80 millones
27%
80-85 millones
73%
85-90 millones
<1%
>90 millones
<1%
80-85 millones 73%
75-80 millones 27%
70-75 millones <1%
85-90 millones <1%
$844,156 Vol.
$844,156 Vol.
<50 millones
<1%
50-55 millones
<1%
55-60 millones
<1%
60-65 millones
<1%
65-70 millones
<1%
70-75 millones
<1%
75-80 millones
27%
80-85 millones
73%
85-90 millones
<1%
>90 millones
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an $80-85 million domestic opening weekend for Project Hail Mary (71.5% implied probability), with $75-80 million close behind (27.5%), reflecting robust early tracking from Deadline Hollywood projecting 75-90 million based on Ryan Gosling's post-Barbie star power and Andy Weir's bestselling novel's built-in fanbase akin to The Martian's 54 million launch in 2015. Recent catalysts include the first trailer's viral release last week, amassing 50 million views and sparking enthusiastic X discussions on its Spider-Verse directors' visual flair and Gosling's charismatic Ryland Grace. Presales are outpacing similar sci-fi tentpoles, though awards season distractions and March competition could cap upside, underscoring traders' cautious optimism for this March 20, 2026, debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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