Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Project Hail Mary grossing $80-85 million in its opening weekend (48.5% implied probability), propelled by the blockbuster trailer's debut last week, which amassed over 50 million views in 24 hours and earned widespread praise for Ryan Gosling's charismatic lead performance and stunning VFX. Supporting the nearby $75-80 million bucket (36%), analysts at Deadline and Box Office Pro cite comparable March releases like Dune: Part Two ($82 million debut) amid light competition, bolstered by the novel's fervent fanbase and directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller's track record. Recent Fandango pre-sale spikes and social buzz have lifted odds from lower tiers, though unpredictable walk-ups and weather could sway final tracking next week.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTaquilla del fin de semana de apertura del "Proyecto Ave María"
Taquilla del fin de semana de apertura del "Proyecto Ave María"
80-85 millones 48%
75-80 millones 36%
85-90 millones 7.0%
70-75 millones 6.0%
$471,728 Vol.
$471,728 Vol.
<50 millones
<1%
50-55 millones
<1%
55-60 millones
<1%
60-65 millones
<1%
65-70 millones
1%
70-75 millones
6%
75-80 millones
36%
80-85 millones
48%
85-90 millones
7%
>90 millones
2%
80-85 millones 48%
75-80 millones 36%
85-90 millones 7.0%
70-75 millones 6.0%
$471,728 Vol.
$471,728 Vol.
<50 millones
<1%
50-55 millones
<1%
55-60 millones
<1%
60-65 millones
<1%
65-70 millones
1%
70-75 millones
6%
75-80 millones
36%
80-85 millones
48%
85-90 millones
7%
>90 millones
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Project Hail Mary grossing $80-85 million in its opening weekend (48.5% implied probability), propelled by the blockbuster trailer's debut last week, which amassed over 50 million views in 24 hours and earned widespread praise for Ryan Gosling's charismatic lead performance and stunning VFX. Supporting the nearby $75-80 million bucket (36%), analysts at Deadline and Box Office Pro cite comparable March releases like Dune: Part Two ($82 million debut) amid light competition, bolstered by the novel's fervent fanbase and directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller's track record. Recent Fandango pre-sale spikes and social buzz have lifted odds from lower tiers, though unpredictable walk-ups and weather could sway final tracking next week.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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