Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Project Hail Mary pulling in $80-85 million for its March 2026 opening weekend, reflecting early tracking from Deadline and Box Office Pro estimating $75-95 million domestic amid Ryan Gosling's post-Barbie star power and the sci-fi IP's proven draw from Andy Weir's bestseller. The 75-80 million range trails closely at 28.5%, buoyed by comparable spring releases like Dune: Part Two's $82 million debut, while upside to 85-90 million (13.6%) hinges on IMAX pre-sales and viral trailer buzz. Recent catalysts include the first teaser footage generating massive online hype—over 50 million views in days—and positive test screening whispers, tempering lower bins despite potential awards-season competition. Unpredictable walk-ups remain key.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTaquilla del fin de semana de apertura del "Proyecto Ave María"
Taquilla del fin de semana de apertura del "Proyecto Ave María"
80-85 millones 58%
75-80 millones 26%
85-90 millones 13.5%
70-75 millones 2.7%
$627,970 Vol.
$627,970 Vol.
<50 millones
<1%
50-55 millones
<1%
55-60 millones
<1%
60-65 millones
<1%
65-70 millones
<1%
70-75 millones
3%
75-80 millones
26%
80-85 millones
58%
85-90 millones
14%
>90 millones
1%
80-85 millones 58%
75-80 millones 26%
85-90 millones 13.5%
70-75 millones 2.7%
$627,970 Vol.
$627,970 Vol.
<50 millones
<1%
50-55 millones
<1%
55-60 millones
<1%
60-65 millones
<1%
65-70 millones
<1%
70-75 millones
3%
75-80 millones
26%
80-85 millones
58%
85-90 millones
14%
>90 millones
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Project Hail Mary pulling in $80-85 million for its March 2026 opening weekend, reflecting early tracking from Deadline and Box Office Pro estimating $75-95 million domestic amid Ryan Gosling's post-Barbie star power and the sci-fi IP's proven draw from Andy Weir's bestseller. The 75-80 million range trails closely at 28.5%, buoyed by comparable spring releases like Dune: Part Two's $82 million debut, while upside to 85-90 million (13.6%) hinges on IMAX pre-sales and viral trailer buzz. Recent catalysts include the first teaser footage generating massive online hype—over 50 million views in days—and positive test screening whispers, tempering lower bins despite potential awards-season competition. Unpredictable walk-ups remain key.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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