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Política·Aeropuerto

Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?

Market icon
Política·Aeropuerto

Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?

mar 29

abr 4

abr 5

abr 6

mar 29

abr 4

abr 5

abr 6

6,500-7,000 40%

5,500-6,000 25%

>7,000 11%

5,000-5,500 <1%

Polymarket

$8,832 Vol.

6,500-7,000 40%

5,500-6,000 25%

>7,000 11%

5,000-5,500 <1%

Polymarket

$8,832 Vol.

<4,000

$1,855 Vol.

<1%

4,000-4,500

$1,713 Vol.

<1%

4,500-5,000

$3,504 Vol.

1%

5,000-5,500

$1,201 Vol.

1%

5,500-6,000

$335 Vol.

20%

6,000-6,500

$81 Vol.

53%

6,500-7,000

$67 Vol.

40%

>7,000

$75 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Severe thunderstorms disrupting key hubs like Chicago O'Hare—where 314 disruptions including 268 delays occurred—combined with peak Easter Saturday volumes and air traffic control strains propelled US flight delays, with FlightAware's preliminary tally at 5,683 for flights within, into, or out of the country. Trader consensus favors 6,000-6,500 (52%) over 6,500-7,000 (43%), reflecting skin-in-the-game skepticism toward real-time trackers amid historical discrepancies with official Bureau of Transportation Statistics counts that often capture late arrivals. This tight race persists pending BTS data release, typically lagging days; upward revisions from cascading ground stops or tarmac delays could tip toward higher bins, while confirmations near 5,700 might validate lower outcomes.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$8,832
Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Severe thunderstorms disrupting key hubs like Chicago O'Hare—where 314 disruptions including 268 delays occurred—combined with peak Easter Saturday volumes and air traffic control strains propelled US flight delays, with FlightAware's preliminary tally at 5,683 for flights within, into, or out of the country. Trader consensus favors 6,000-6,500 (52%) over 6,500-7,000 (43%), reflecting skin-in-the-game skepticism toward real-time trackers amid historical discrepancies with official Bureau of Transportation Statistics counts that often capture late arrivals. This tight race persists pending BTS data release, typically lagging days; upward revisions from cascading ground stops or tarmac delays could tip toward higher bins, while confirmations near 5,700 might validate lower outcomes.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$8,832
Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "6,000-6,500" con 53%, seguido de "6,500-7,000" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 53¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?" es "6,000-6,500" con 53%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "6,500-7,000" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.