Market icon

Nobel Prize in Literature 2025

Market icon

Nobel Prize in Literature 2025

László Krasznahorkai 100.0%

Haruki Murakami <1%

Mircea Cărtărescu <1%

Can Xue <1%

Polymarket

$103,345 Vol.

László Krasznahorkai 100.0%

Haruki Murakami <1%

Mircea Cărtărescu <1%

Can Xue <1%

Polymarket

$103,345 Vol.

Haruki Murakami

$10,488 Vol.

No

Mircea Cărtărescu

$5,709 Vol.

No

Can Xue

$15,392 Vol.

No

Gerald Murnane

$2,908 Vol.

No

László Krasznahorkai

$47,902 Vol.

Yes

Adonis

$268 Vol.

No

Thomas Pynchon

$88 Vol.

No

Anne Carson

$6,641 Vol.

No

Hélène Cixous

$6,114 Vol.

No

Ngũgĩ wa Thiong’o

$7,833 Vol.

No

The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.

The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy.

If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically.

If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.
Volumen
$103,345
Fecha de finalización
Oct 31, 2025
Mercado abierto
Oct 6, 2025, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Nobel Prize in Literature 2025" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "László Krasznahorkai" con 100%, seguido de "Haruki Murakami" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Nobel Prize in Literature 2025" ha generado $103.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Nobel Prize in Literature 2025", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Nobel Prize in Literature 2025" es "László Krasznahorkai" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Haruki Murakami" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Nobel Prize in Literature 2025" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.