Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 69.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any official casting announcement for James Bond 26 despite ongoing script development by Steven Knight for director Denis Villeneuve's reboot. Production remains in early stages post-Daniel Craig's exit, with no confirmed timeline for 007 selection amid historical delays in franchise transitions. Callum Turner leads named candidates at 19.5%, buoyed by mid-March rumors naming him a frontrunner and a brief odds surge on prediction platforms, though unverified. Jacob Elordi's 3.9% follows scattered social media buzz, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.6%) and Henry Cavill (2.3%) linger from prior speculation—Cavill recently ruled himself out citing age. Watch for Amazon MGM updates as precursor signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Próximo actor de James Bond?
¿Próximo actor de James Bond?
Ningún James Bond elegido 70%
Callum Turner 20%
Jacob Elordi 3.9%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.6%
$1,600,401 Vol.
$1,600,401 Vol.

Ningún James Bond elegido
70%

Callum Turner
20%

Jacob Elordi
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Henry Cavill
2%

Jack Lowdon
1%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Tom Hardy
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%
Ningún James Bond elegido 70%
Callum Turner 20%
Jacob Elordi 3.9%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.6%
$1,600,401 Vol.
$1,600,401 Vol.

Ningún James Bond elegido
70%

Callum Turner
20%

Jacob Elordi
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Henry Cavill
2%

Jack Lowdon
1%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Tom Hardy
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 69.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any official casting announcement for James Bond 26 despite ongoing script development by Steven Knight for director Denis Villeneuve's reboot. Production remains in early stages post-Daniel Craig's exit, with no confirmed timeline for 007 selection amid historical delays in franchise transitions. Callum Turner leads named candidates at 19.5%, buoyed by mid-March rumors naming him a frontrunner and a brief odds surge on prediction platforms, though unverified. Jacob Elordi's 3.9% follows scattered social media buzz, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.6%) and Henry Cavill (2.3%) linger from prior speculation—Cavill recently ruled himself out citing age. Watch for Amazon MGM updates as precursor signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes