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¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

Market icon

¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

Ningún James Bond elegido 70%

Callum Turner 20%

Jacob Elordi 3.9%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,599,848 Vol.

Ningún James Bond elegido 70%

Callum Turner 20%

Jacob Elordi 3.9%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,599,848 Vol.

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Ningún James Bond elegido

$242,338 Vol.

70%

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Callum Turner

$107,505 Vol.

20%

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Jacob Elordi

$216,176 Vol.

4%

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Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$93,856 Vol.

2%

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Henry Cavill

$231,298 Vol.

2%

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Jack Lowdon

$63,736 Vol.

1%

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Josh O'Connor

$12,909 Vol.

1%

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Harris Dickinson

$129,345 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton

$99,395 Vol.

<1%

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Paul Mescal

$86,580 Vol.

<1%

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Theo James

$17,308 Vol.

<1%

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Pierce Brosnan

$169,435 Vol.

<1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Tom Hardy

$61,713 Vol.

<1%

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Tom Holland

$57,789 Vol.

<1%

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Robert James-Collier

$10,465 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "No Bond chosen" at 69.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate reboot timeline for Bond 26 under Denis Villeneuve, with casting reports pointing to mid-2026 at the earliest following his Dune: Messiah wrap. Callum Turner has emerged as the clear frontrunner at 19.5% after a sharp March odds surge fueled by unverified insider whispers of screen tests and his evasive Berlin Film Festival responses, amplifying speculation despite no official confirmation. Jacob Elordi's 3.9% reflects faded post-Oscar buzz, while prior favorites Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.4%) and Henry Cavill (2.1%) trail amid shifting industry narratives, with high uncertainty until formal announcements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,599,848
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "No Bond chosen" at 69.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate reboot timeline for Bond 26 under Denis Villeneuve, with casting reports pointing to mid-2026 at the earliest following his Dune: Messiah wrap. Callum Turner has emerged as the clear frontrunner at 19.5% after a sharp March odds surge fueled by unverified insider whispers of screen tests and his evasive Berlin Film Festival responses, amplifying speculation despite no official confirmation. Jacob Elordi's 3.9% reflects faded post-Oscar buzz, while prior favorites Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.4%) and Henry Cavill (2.1%) trail amid shifting industry narratives, with high uncertainty until formal announcements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,599,848
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ningún James Bond elegido" con 70%, seguido de "Callum Turner" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" ha generado $1.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" es "Ningún James Bond elegido" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Callum Turner" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.