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Deportes·Baloncesto Universitario

NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed

Market icon
Deportes·Baloncesto Universitario

NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed

1 72%

3 16%

2 15%

9 7.8%

Polymarket
NEW

1 72%

3 16%

2 15%

9 7.8%

Polymarket
NEW

1

$823 Vol.

72%

2

$22 Vol.

15%

3

$0 Vol.

16%

6

$0 Vol.

5%

9

$63 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Three No. 1 seeds—Duke, Michigan, and Arizona—advancing to the Elite Eight has driven trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability for a top seed national champion in the NCAA Tournament, reflecting the wisdom of crowds amid a chalky bracket with minimal upsets. Sweet 16 results over the past 48 hours reinforced this: Michigan cruised past No. 4 seed opponent, Duke held off No. 5 St. John's, and Arizona dominated No. 4 Arkansas by 21 points. No. 3 Illinois' steady form positions its seed at 15.5%, backed by No. 2 seeds UConn and Purdue at 15.0%. No. 9 Iowa's upset over No. 4 Nebraska elevates that outcome to 8.3%, while No. 6 seed progress holds 5.3% amid home-court edges and rest advantages in regional finals.

Three No. 1 seeds—Duke, Michigan, and Arizona—advancing to the Elite Eight has driven trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability for a top seed national champion in the NCAA Tournament, reflecting the wisdom of crowds amid a chalky bracket with minimal upsets. Sweet 16 results over the past 48 hours reinforced this: Michigan cruised past No. 4 seed opponent, Duke held off No. 5 St. John's, and Arizona dominated No. 4 Arkansas by 21 points. No. 3 Illinois' steady form positions its seed at 15.5%, backed by No. 2 seeds UConn and Purdue at 15.0%. No. 9 Iowa's upset over No. 4 Nebraska elevates that outcome to 8.3%, while No. 6 seed progress holds 5.3% amid home-court edges and rest advantages in regional finals.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Three No. 1 seeds—Duke, Michigan, and Arizona—advancing to the Elite Eight has driven trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability for a top seed national champion in the NCAA Tournament, reflecting the wisdom of crowds amid a chalky bracket with minimal upsets. Sweet 16 results over the past 48 hours reinforced this: Michigan cruised past No. 4 seed opponent, Duke held off No. 5 St. John's, and Arizona dominated No. 4 Arkansas by 21 points. No. 3 Illinois' steady form positions its seed at 15.5%, backed by No. 2 seeds UConn and Purdue at 15.0%. No. 9 Iowa's upset over No. 4 Nebraska elevates that outcome to 8.3%, while No. 6 seed progress holds 5.3% amid home-court edges and rest advantages in regional finals.

Three No. 1 seeds—Duke, Michigan, and Arizona—advancing to the Elite Eight has driven trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability for a top seed national champion in the NCAA Tournament, reflecting the wisdom of crowds amid a chalky bracket with minimal upsets. Sweet 16 results over the past 48 hours reinforced this: Michigan cruised past No. 4 seed opponent, Duke held off No. 5 St. John's, and Arizona dominated No. 4 Arkansas by 21 points. No. 3 Illinois' steady form positions its seed at 15.5%, backed by No. 2 seeds UConn and Purdue at 15.0%. No. 9 Iowa's upset over No. 4 Nebraska elevates that outcome to 8.3%, while No. 6 seed progress holds 5.3% amid home-court edges and rest advantages in regional finals.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "1" con 72%, seguido de "3" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 72¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed" es "1" con 72%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "3" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.