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Política·Apagado Del Gobierno

¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?

Market icon
Política·Apagado Del Gobierno

¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?

mar 14

mar 14

Polymarket

$1,310,778 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,310,778 Vol.

52+ días

$41,203 Vol.

100%

60+ días

$303,776 Vol.

81%

70+ días

$11,778 Vol.

42%

80+ días

$15,836 Vol.

34%

90+ días

$20,285 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown, the longest in U.S. history at over 50 days since a continuing resolution expired on February 14, 2026, stems from congressional disputes over immigration enforcement reforms in appropriations bills. House Republicans passed funding measures like H.R. 7744 and H.R. 7147 to fully reopen DHS—including TSA, ICE, and CBP—but Senate Democrats blocked them without policy riders. On April 2, Senate leaders advanced a deal for most DHS agencies, yet the House delayed, extending the lapse at least until April 6. President Trump directed payment for all DHS personnel via executive memorandum, easing employee hardship amid fading airport delays. Traders watch pending House votes and potential reconciliation for resolution breakthroughs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,310,778
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown, the longest in U.S. history at over 50 days since a continuing resolution expired on February 14, 2026, stems from congressional disputes over immigration enforcement reforms in appropriations bills. House Republicans passed funding measures like H.R. 7744 and H.R. 7147 to fully reopen DHS—including TSA, ICE, and CBP—but Senate Democrats blocked them without policy riders. On April 2, Senate leaders advanced a deal for most DHS agencies, yet the House delayed, extending the lapse at least until April 6. President Trump directed payment for all DHS personnel via executive memorandum, easing employee hardship amid fading airport delays. Traders watch pending House votes and potential reconciliation for resolution breakthroughs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,310,778
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "52+ días" con 100%, seguido de "3+ días" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?" ha generado $1.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 15, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?" es "52+ días" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "3+ días" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.