Market icon
Política·Apagado Del Gobierno

¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?

Market icon
Política·Apagado Del Gobierno

¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?

mar 14

mar 14

Polymarket

$1,318,199 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,318,199 Vol.

52+ días

$43,247 Vol.

100%

60+ días

$308,787 Vol.

83%

70+ días

$11,782 Vol.

42%

80+ días

$15,836 Vol.

35%

90+ días

$20,648 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, triggered by the February 14, 2026, lapse in FY2026 appropriations without a continuing resolution, has stretched beyond 50 days—the longest in U.S. history—due to partisan deadlock over ICE and CBP reforms. House Republicans have blocked Senate-passed funding bills amid GOP fractures, including Senate Leader Thune's reported push against Speaker Johnson, while Democrats blame Republican intransigence. President Trump's recent executive order to pay all DHS employees, including TSA officers facing airport chaos, has eased worker hardship but not resolved the impasse. Traders watch for a potential House vote this week, with reconciliation talks or a clean CR as paths forward amid mounting political pressure.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,318,199
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, triggered by the February 14, 2026, lapse in FY2026 appropriations without a continuing resolution, has stretched beyond 50 days—the longest in U.S. history—due to partisan deadlock over ICE and CBP reforms. House Republicans have blocked Senate-passed funding bills amid GOP fractures, including Senate Leader Thune's reported push against Speaker Johnson, while Democrats blame Republican intransigence. President Trump's recent executive order to pay all DHS employees, including TSA officers facing airport chaos, has eased worker hardship but not resolved the impasse. Traders watch for a potential House vote this week, with reconciliation talks or a clean CR as paths forward amid mounting political pressure.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,318,199
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "52+ días" con 100%, seguido de "3+ días" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?" ha generado $1.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 15, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?" es "52+ días" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "3+ días" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del DHS?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.