Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 52-53°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's official Central Park observation—the authoritative measurement site—recording a daily maximum in that range amid seasonable late-March conditions. This follows a sharp cool-down from record 80°F heat earlier in the month on March 10, with persistent northerly flows and cloud cover capping daytime highs near climatological norms of 52-55°F. Model consensus from NOAA guidance accurately anticipated this, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post-preliminary data revisions from quality control, such as sensor recalibrations, though NWS daily reports rarely shift significantly after initial release. Final monthly climate summary expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on March 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?
52-53°F 100.0%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$239,586 Vol.
$239,586 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
52-53°F
100%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
<1%
52-53°F 100.0%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$239,586 Vol.
$239,586 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
52-53°F
$43,390 Vol.
100%
54-55°F
$25,163 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$23,973 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$16,290 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$10,832 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$10,275 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$8,971 Vol.
<1%
66°F or higher
$9,429 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 52-53°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's official Central Park observation—the authoritative measurement site—recording a daily maximum in that range amid seasonable late-March conditions. This follows a sharp cool-down from record 80°F heat earlier in the month on March 10, with persistent northerly flows and cloud cover capping daytime highs near climatological norms of 52-55°F. Model consensus from NOAA guidance accurately anticipated this, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post-preliminary data revisions from quality control, such as sensor recalibrations, though NWS daily reports rarely shift significantly after initial release. Final monthly climate summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$239,586Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 52-53°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's official Central Park observation—the authoritative measurement site—recording a daily maximum in that range amid seasonable late-March conditions. This follows a sharp cool-down from record 80°F heat earlier in the month on March 10, with persistent northerly flows and cloud cover capping daytime highs near climatological norms of 52-55°F. Model consensus from NOAA guidance accurately anticipated this, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post-preliminary data revisions from quality control, such as sensor recalibrations, though NWS daily reports rarely shift significantly after initial release. Final monthly climate summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$239,586Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 52-53°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's official Central Park observation—the authoritative measurement site—recording a daily maximum in that range amid seasonable late-March conditions. This follows a sharp cool-down from record 80°F heat earlier in the month on March 10, with persistent northerly flows and cloud cover capping daytime highs near climatological norms of 52-55°F. Model consensus from NOAA guidance accurately anticipated this, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post-preliminary data revisions from quality control, such as sensor recalibrations, though NWS daily reports rarely shift significantly after initial release. Final monthly climate summary expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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