Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to 11°C as London's highest temperature on March 29, backed by official Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the reference station for citywide records—confirming this maximum amid persistent low cloud and cool northerly airflow that suppressed solar heating. Hourly data from key sites like St James's Park and Northolt aligned closely, with no exceedance reported in the evening extremes summary. Late March climatology supports this, as average daily highs typically range 10–12°C, following earlier month's warmer spikes (e.g., 19.2°C at Northolt on March 6) that subsided under shifting Atlantic patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible post-resolution, barring rare provisional data revisions from sensor anomalies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 29 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 29 de marzo?
11°C 100.0%
6°C o menos <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$499,086 Vol.
$499,086 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
6°C o menos
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Sí
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C o más
No
11°C 100.0%
6°C o menos <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$499,086 Vol.
$499,086 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
6°C o menos
$173,147 Vol.
No
7°C
$27,423 Vol.
No
8°C
$21,695 Vol.
No
9°C
$29,092 Vol.
No
10°C
$66,802 Vol.
No
11°C
$44,645 Vol.
Sí
12°C
$41,983 Vol.
No
13°C
$28,959 Vol.
No
14°C
$20,741 Vol.
No
15°C
$19,586 Vol.
No
16°C o más
$25,014 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to 11°C as London's highest temperature on March 29, backed by official Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the reference station for citywide records—confirming this maximum amid persistent low cloud and cool northerly airflow that suppressed solar heating. Hourly data from key sites like St James's Park and Northolt aligned closely, with no exceedance reported in the evening extremes summary. Late March climatology supports this, as average daily highs typically range 10–12°C, following earlier month's warmer spikes (e.g., 19.2°C at Northolt on March 6) that subsided under shifting Atlantic patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible post-resolution, barring rare provisional data revisions from sensor anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volumen
$499,086Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to 11°C as London's highest temperature on March 29, backed by official Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the reference station for citywide records—confirming this maximum amid persistent low cloud and cool northerly airflow that suppressed solar heating. Hourly data from key sites like St James's Park and Northolt aligned closely, with no exceedance reported in the evening extremes summary. Late March climatology supports this, as average daily highs typically range 10–12°C, following earlier month's warmer spikes (e.g., 19.2°C at Northolt on March 6) that subsided under shifting Atlantic patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible post-resolution, barring rare provisional data revisions from sensor anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$499,086Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to 11°C as London's highest temperature on March 29, backed by official Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the reference station for citywide records—confirming this maximum amid persistent low cloud and cool northerly airflow that suppressed solar heating. Hourly data from key sites like St James's Park and Northolt aligned closely, with no exceedance reported in the evening extremes summary. Late March climatology supports this, as average daily highs typically range 10–12°C, following earlier month's warmer spikes (e.g., 19.2°C at Northolt on March 6) that subsided under shifting Atlantic patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible post-resolution, barring rare provisional data revisions from sensor anomalies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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