Gold (GC) futures have rallied over 15% year-to-date, trading around $2,330 per ounce as of late June, driven primarily by Federal Reserve signals of potential rate cuts starting in September amid cooling inflation (May CPI +3.3% year-over-year) and a softening labor market. Lower interest rates reduce gold's opportunity cost relative to yielding assets, while persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine bolster safe-haven demand. A weakening U.S. dollar (DXY near 105) and robust central bank purchases—led by China—further support prices. Traders watch the June 28 PCE inflation report and Q2 GDP data for resolution cues, with implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus on sustained upside momentum absent hotter-than-expected data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué alcanzará el oro (GC) __ a finales de junio?
¿Qué alcanzará el oro (GC) __ a finales de junio?
$2,470,145 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
↑ $10,000
2%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
4%
↑ $7,000
4%
↑ $6,500
7%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ $6,000
13%
↑ $5,700
21%
↑ $5,500
30%
↓ $4,200
69%
↓ $3,800
21%
↓ $3,400
8%
$2,470,145 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$110,018 Vol.
2%
↑ $8,500
$217,430 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,000
$92,344 Vol.
3%
↑ $8,000
$227,380 Vol.
4%
↑ $7,000
$227,505 Vol.
4%
↑ $6,500
$187,114 Vol.
7%
↑ $6,200
$68,246 Vol.
10%
↑ $6,000
$201,637 Vol.
13%
↑ $5,700
$47,528 Vol.
21%
↑ $5,500
$776,311 Vol.
30%
↓ $4,200
$184,379 Vol.
69%
↓ $3,800
$43,440 Vol.
21%
↓ $3,400
$33,918 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) futures have rallied over 15% year-to-date, trading around $2,330 per ounce as of late June, driven primarily by Federal Reserve signals of potential rate cuts starting in September amid cooling inflation (May CPI +3.3% year-over-year) and a softening labor market. Lower interest rates reduce gold's opportunity cost relative to yielding assets, while persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine bolster safe-haven demand. A weakening U.S. dollar (DXY near 105) and robust central bank purchases—led by China—further support prices. Traders watch the June 28 PCE inflation report and Q2 GDP data for resolution cues, with implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus on sustained upside momentum absent hotter-than-expected data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volumen
$2,470,145Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) futures have rallied over 15% year-to-date, trading around $2,330 per ounce as of late June, driven primarily by Federal Reserve signals of potential rate cuts starting in September amid cooling inflation (May CPI +3.3% year-over-year) and a softening labor market. Lower interest rates reduce gold's opportunity cost relative to yielding assets, while persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine bolster safe-haven demand. A weakening U.S. dollar (DXY near 105) and robust central bank purchases—led by China—further support prices. Traders watch the June 28 PCE inflation report and Q2 GDP data for resolution cues, with implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus on sustained upside momentum absent hotter-than-expected data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$2,470,145Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Gold (GC) futures have rallied over 15% year-to-date, trading around $2,330 per ounce as of late June, driven primarily by Federal Reserve signals of potential rate cuts starting in September amid cooling inflation (May CPI +3.3% year-over-year) and a softening labor market. Lower interest rates reduce gold's opportunity cost relative to yielding assets, while persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine bolster safe-haven demand. A weakening U.S. dollar (DXY near 105) and robust central bank purchases—led by China—further support prices. Traders watch the June 28 PCE inflation report and Q2 GDP data for resolution cues, with implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus on sustained upside momentum absent hotter-than-expected data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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