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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 35.9%

Francia 13.5%

Dinamarca 11.1%

Australia 6.3%

Polymarket

$56,577,559 Vol.

Finlandia 35.9%

Francia 13.5%

Dinamarca 11.1%

Australia 6.3%

Polymarket

$56,577,559 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,896,338 Vol.

36%

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Francia

$1,457,429 Vol.

14%

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Dinamarca

$1,013,865 Vol.

11%

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Australia

$1,235,732 Vol.

6%

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Grecia

$1,355,549 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,269,155 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$976,083 Vol.

3%

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Ucrania

$1,171,848 Vol.

3%

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Italia

$1,581,139 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$931,872 Vol.

2%

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Chequia

$830,582 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,155,215 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,051,659 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,130,888 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,271,850 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$982,507 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$911,254 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,072,388 Vol.

1%

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Moldavia

$1,211,180 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,330,427 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,320,066 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$720,305 Vol.

1%

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Lituania

$1,950,042 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,282,842 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$2,359,656 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,753,280 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$2,318,958 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,555,464 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,308,904 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,673,394 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,413,385 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,920,864 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$2,132,473 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$824,855 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,211,316 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen dominates trader consensus at 35.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by its commanding UMK national final victory in late February, where it earned strong jury points alongside televote surge potential echoing Finland's 2023 "Cha Cha Cha" momentum. France (13.5%) and Denmark (10.9%) trail as solid contenders post their Dansk Melodi Grand Prix and equivalent selections, bolstered by early OGAE fan votes—France awarding Finland its 12 points—and public polls favoring Nordic entries. With all 35 songs released ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 contest, recent betting shifts reflect hype around staging reveals and rehearsal buzz, though jury-televote splits remain a key wildcard for upsets.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$56,577,559
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen dominates trader consensus at 35.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by its commanding UMK national final victory in late February, where it earned strong jury points alongside televote surge potential echoing Finland's 2023 "Cha Cha Cha" momentum. France (13.5%) and Denmark (10.9%) trail as solid contenders post their Dansk Melodi Grand Prix and equivalent selections, bolstered by early OGAE fan votes—France awarding Finland its 12 points—and public polls favoring Nordic entries. With all 35 songs released ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 contest, recent betting shifts reflect hype around staging reveals and rehearsal buzz, though jury-televote splits remain a key wildcard for upsets.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$56,577,559
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 36%, seguido de "Francia" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $56.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.