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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 34.8%

Francia 13.1%

Dinamarca 10.0%

Australia 8.0%

Polymarket

$50,334,593 Vol.

Finlandia 34.8%

Francia 13.1%

Dinamarca 10.0%

Australia 8.0%

Polymarket

$50,334,593 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,828,206 Vol.

35%

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Francia

$1,383,093 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$896,400 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,152,843 Vol.

8%

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Grecia

$1,283,925 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,202,428 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$927,225 Vol.

4%

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Ucrania

$1,093,097 Vol.

2%

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Italia

$1,491,280 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$879,971 Vol.

2%

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Chipre

$1,094,458 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$984,570 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$758,060 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,102,799 Vol.

1%

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Moldavia

$1,073,202 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,208,227 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$877,610 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,019,621 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$690,728 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,230,823 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$934,481 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,253,435 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,922,323 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$2,001,440 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,989,068 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,362,274 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,041,195 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,486,325 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,583,445 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,871,653 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$767,564 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,746,063 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,248,126 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,879,769 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,075,179 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and singer Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK win on February 28, blending jury acclaim for its orchestral pop flair with massive televote potential reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Trader consensus reflects early OGAE fan votes—France awarded them 12 points—and buzz around Lampenius's push for live violin approval, differentiating it in a field of 40+ entries. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") holds steady at 13.1% as a Big Five safe bet with sleek electropop appeal, while Denmark (10%) and Australia (8%) gain from strong public polls amid ongoing national finals. With Vienna's May 12-16 dates approaching, semi-final draws and final rehearsals could shift this wide-open contest.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and singer Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK win on February 28, blending jury acclaim for its orchestral pop flair with massive televote potential reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Trader consensus reflects early OGAE fan votes—France awarded them 12 points—and buzz around Lampenius's push for live violin approval, differentiating it in a field of 40+ entries. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") holds steady at 13.1% as a Big Five safe bet with sleek electropop appeal, while Denmark (10%) and Australia (8%) gain from strong public polls amid ongoing national finals. With Vienna's May 12-16 dates approaching, semi-final draws and final rehearsals could shift this wide-open contest.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and singer Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK win on February 28, blending jury acclaim for its orchestral pop flair with massive televote potential reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Trader consensus reflects early OGAE fan votes—France awarded them 12 points—and buzz around Lampenius's push for live violin approval, differentiating it in a field of 40+ entries. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") holds steady at 13.1% as a Big Five safe bet with sleek electropop appeal, while Denmark (10%) and Australia (8%) gain from strong public polls amid ongoing national finals. With Vienna's May 12-16 dates approaching, semi-final draws and final rehearsals could shift this wide-open contest.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and singer Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK win on February 28, blending jury acclaim for its orchestral pop flair with massive televote potential reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Trader consensus reflects early OGAE fan votes—France awarded them 12 points—and buzz around Lampenius's push for live violin approval, differentiating it in a field of 40+ entries. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") holds steady at 13.1% as a Big Five safe bet with sleek electropop appeal, while Denmark (10%) and Australia (8%) gain from strong public polls amid ongoing national finals. With Vienna's May 12-16 dates approaching, semi-final draws and final rehearsals could shift this wide-open contest.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $50.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.