Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" command a 36% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, fueled by their dominant UMK national final win last month, where the track's explosive chorus, sultry staging, and jury-televote balance generated massive early buzz and betting volume. France's Monroe surged to 13.5% following the recent unveiling of "Regarde!", an operatic powerhouse drawing hat-trick winner comparisons and heavy wagering interest. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard at 10.8% benefits from Nordic momentum with "Før vi går hjem," while Australia and Greece tie at 6.4% on strong previews. As more national finals wrap up, trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on rehearsal hype and televote potential ahead of Vienna semis in May, though jury surprises remain a wildcard.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de Eurovisión 2026
Ganador de Eurovisión 2026
Finlandia 36.0%
Francia 13.5%
Dinamarca 10.8%
Australia 6.4%
$56,444,583 Vol.
$56,444,583 Vol.

Finlandia
36%

Francia
14%

Dinamarca
11%

Australia
6%

Grecia
6%

Israel
4%

Suecia
3%

Ucrania
3%

Italia
2%

Rumanía
2%

Chequia
1%

Chipre
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Bélgica
1%

Croacia
1%

Alemania
1%

Luxemburgo
1%

Moldavia
1%

Noruega
1%

Suiza
1%

Reino Unido
1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Letonia
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbaiyán
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Polonia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%
Finlandia 36.0%
Francia 13.5%
Dinamarca 10.8%
Australia 6.4%
$56,444,583 Vol.
$56,444,583 Vol.

Finlandia
36%

Francia
14%

Dinamarca
11%

Australia
6%

Grecia
6%

Israel
4%

Suecia
3%

Ucrania
3%

Italia
2%

Rumanía
2%

Chequia
1%

Chipre
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Bélgica
1%

Croacia
1%

Alemania
1%

Luxemburgo
1%

Moldavia
1%

Noruega
1%

Suiza
1%

Reino Unido
1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Letonia
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbaiyán
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Polonia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" command a 36% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, fueled by their dominant UMK national final win last month, where the track's explosive chorus, sultry staging, and jury-televote balance generated massive early buzz and betting volume. France's Monroe surged to 13.5% following the recent unveiling of "Regarde!", an operatic powerhouse drawing hat-trick winner comparisons and heavy wagering interest. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard at 10.8% benefits from Nordic momentum with "Før vi går hjem," while Australia and Greece tie at 6.4% on strong previews. As more national finals wrap up, trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on rehearsal hype and televote potential ahead of Vienna semis in May, though jury surprises remain a wildcard.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes